Sun vs Storm Picks and Prediction – 7/12/2025

After stunning Seattle in Hartford with a 93–83 upset on Wednesday, the Connecticut Sun (3–16) hit the road to challenge the Seattle Storm (12–8) for a Friday showdown. Connecticut is determined to carry the momentum West, while Seattle aims to reassert dominance at home and rebound from the rare loss. Expect a fast-paced, emotionally charged clash with postseason vibes. Get in on the action with our free WNBA picks.

The Sun snapped a franchise-worst 10-game losing streak, fueled by a breathtaking 29-point, 11-rebound night from Tina Charles and strong contributions from Jacy Sheldon and Bria Harley. Despite their heroics, Connecticut remains the league’s lowest-scoring team (72.1 PPG) with porous defense (88.4 PPG allowed) . They’re 1–9 on the road, but historically rise to the occasion as heavy underdogs (7–5 ATS when double-digit dogs). Guard Jaelyn Brown is day‑to‑day, and Marina Mabrey is out, weakening their backcourt further.

Seattle remains Eastern Conference royalty with elite efficiency—82.3 PPG, 45.6% FG, 35% 3P, and even rebounding numbers near the league's top. Skylar Diggins leads at 18.5 PPG and 6 APG, while Nneka Ogwumike adds 17 PPG and 8 RPG. Despite strong form, their depth is impacted by missing Katie Lou Samuelson (ACL), and Lexie Brown is questionable. The Storm have been solid at home (6–3), but have struggled ATS as favorites (0–4 recently), signaling potential value for Connecticut.

Connecticut looked sensational and rejuvenated, running Seattle off the floor in their last game. The problem is, this was the final game of a long East Coast road trip for the Storm. The truth is that Seattle has a much better lineup, and should right their wrongs this time at home. Seattle wins 86-66.