Jets vs Stars Picks and Prediction – 5/14/2025

The Dallas Stars will try to take full control of this second-round series as they host the Winnipeg Jets for Game 4 at the American Airlines Center. Dallas leads the series 2-1 after a strong 5-2 win at home. The Jets, meanwhile, are looking to bounce back after a tough road loss, following a 4-0 win in Game 2. The puck drops at 6:00 PM EST. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

Winnipeg had a strong regular season and hasn’t backed down in this series. They split the first two games at home and now need to even things up on the road. The Jets got beat soundly last game, giving up three goals in the second period and never recovering. If they want to get back into this, they’ll need another big night from Kyle Connor and a bounce-back performance from Connor Hellebuyck in net.

Defensively, the Jets have been solid most of the year, holding opponents to just 2.32 goals per game, the second-best mark in the league. Connor Hellebuyck’s .925 save percentage and 2.01 goals against average are elite, and he’ll need to stand tall again. Offensively, Winnipeg matches Dallas with 3.35 goals per game and boasts a strong power play at 28.9%. Kyle Connor leads in goals (41), assists (56), and points (97), while Logan Stanley is questionable with a day-to-day injury.

Dallas has taken advantage of home ice and momentum, using a big second period in Game 3 to take control. The Stars have gotten consistent production from Matt Duchene and Jason Robertson and will try to put the Jets in a 3-1 hole. They’ve won three of the last four overall and are 28-10-3 at home, one of the best records in the league.

The Stars allow 2.71 goals per game and kill penalties at 82%, slightly better than the Jets. Goalie Jake Oettinger has a 2.59 GAA and a .909 save percentage, enough to keep his team competitive. Offensively, Dallas also scores 3.35 goals per game but has a weaker power play at 22.0%. Matt Duchene leads the team with 82 points, while defenseman Miro Heiskanen remains out.

I like the underdog in this matchup. Winnipeg’s elite defensive numbers and top-tier goaltending give them a real shot to even the series. Connor Hellebuyck has been excellent all year, and with Kyle Connor leading a dangerous power play, the Jets have the tools to steal one on the road. Final Score Prediction: Winnipeg Jets wins 3-2.