Jets vs Stars Picks and Prediction – 5/11/2025

The series between the Jets and Stars heads to Game 3 at American Airlines Center with things all knotted up at one apiece. The Winnipeg Jets took Game 2 in dominant fashion with a 4-0 win after dropping Game 1 to the Dallas Stars, 3-2. Winnipeg comes in with a strong 56-22-4 record while Dallas sits at 50-26-6. Puck drops Sunday at 2:30 PM ET. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

The Jets bounced back huge in Game 2, pitching a shutout on the road. Connor Hellebuyck stopped everything Dallas threw at him, and Winnipeg’s offense capitalized on key chances. Kyle Connor continues to pace this team with 97 points on the year, including 41 goals and 56 assists. The win showed Winnipeg’s ability to respond, especially on the road, where they’re now 26-15-0.

Defensively, the Jets have been elite all year, allowing just 2.32 goals per game while Hellebuyck boasts a 2.01 GAA and a .925 save percentage. Their penalty kill is at 79.4% and they’ve taken 593 penalty minutes on the season. They’ve also got a solid 28.9% power play led by Connor and Mark Scheifele. Only defenseman Logan Stanley is questionable for Sunday, but overall, Winnipeg’s backline has been healthy and sharp when needed most.

Dallas started the series off strong but was completely shut down in Game 2. Jake Oettinger allowed four goals and couldn’t get much help offensively as the Stars were blanked. Before that, they had won three of four and looked like a confident group. Jason Robertson leads the way with 35 goals, while Matt Duchene has chipped in 30 goals and 52 assists to reach 82 points.

The Stars give up 2.71 goals per game, and their penalty kill has been slightly better than Winnipeg’s at 82%. Offensively, they match the Jets with 3.35 goals per game, but their power play conversion rate is only 22.0%. Oettinger has been solid for most of the season with a 2.59 GAA and a .909 save percentage. Miro Heiskanen and Nils Lundkvist are both still out on long-term injured reserve, and that’s a big loss for this defense.

The Jets have the hotter goalie, the better penalty kill, and just proved they can shut down Dallas on the road. Kyle Connor continues to be the best skater in this series, and Winnipeg’s special teams edge is showing. Dallas will need a bounce-back effort, but with Heiskanen still out, the Stars blue line remains vulnerable. Final Score Prediction: Winnipeg Jets win 4-2.