Golden Knights vs Oilers Picks and Prediction – 5/13/2025

The Edmonton Oilers will try to tighten their grip on the series as they host the Vegas Golden Knights for Game 4 at Rogers Place. Edmonton leads the series 2-1 but dropped the last game 4-3 on home ice. Vegas looks to even it up behind a hot offensive showing, while the Oilers aim to bounce back and keep home-ice advantage intact. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

Vegas responded with urgency in Game 3, getting a 4-3 win on the road to halt a two-game skid. Reilly Smith scored twice, and Adin Hill turned in a solid performance to help them stay in the fight. The Golden Knights have gone 6-3-1 in the last 10 and are 21-13-7 on the road this season, showing they can win in tough environments when needed.

Defensively, Vegas is slightly ahead in goals allowed with a 2.61 average and has a penalty kill sitting at 75.7%. Adin Hill leads the crease with 32 wins, a 2.47 goals-against average, and a .906 save percentage. Offensively, Jack Eichel drives the play with 94 points and 66 assists, while Pavel Dorofeyev leads with 35 goals and 13 on the power play. Vegas has the better power play at 28.3% and comes into this game healthy, apart from Brandon Saad, who remains out.

Edmonton had its five-game winning streak snapped but still holds a 2-1 edge in the series. Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid continue to lead the offense, but defensive lapses cost them in the third period of Game 3. They’ve been scoring at a clip of 4.2 goals per game over the last 10 and are 25-13-3 at home, where the energy of Rogers Place has often been a game-changer.

On defense, Edmonton averages 2.87 goals against and has a slightly better penalty kill at 78.2%. Stuart Skinner has 26 wins but a higher goals-against at 2.81 and a .896 save percentage. Offensively, Draisaitl leads with 106 points and 52 goals, with McDavid adding 74 assists. The Oilers also have more penalty minutes with 607 and slightly trail in power play efficiency at 23.7%. They’ll be without Mattias Ekholm, which could affect defensive depth.

Edmonton is still the more consistent offensive team and has the home-ice edge. Leon Draisaitl and Connor McDavid have been dominant, and despite the slip in Game 3, Edmonton has won four of the last six against Vegas. The Oilers' power play can be lethal if given chances, and the defense—though without Ekholm—still matches up better than Vegas on the road. Final Score Prediction: Edmonton Oilers win 5-3