Maple Leafs vs Senators Picks and Prediction – 5/1/2025

By: Cameron Ross |

Last Updated: 04/30/2025 at 8:14 PM ET

Toronto Maple Leafs at Ottawa Senators 05/01/25 - NHL Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/1/2025, 11:00 PM UTC
Latest Odds: OTT -118 ; O/U 5.5

Maple Leafs vs Senators Prediction

The Toronto Maple Leafs return to the road Thursday night for game six of their first round matchup in Ottawa against the Ottawa Senators. Toronto had a fantastic regular season finishing the year with 52 wins overall but have dropped two in a row allowing Ottawa to get back in this series. Toronto started the postseason strong averaging four goals per game through the 1st 3 outings but have scored three total goals over their last two losses. The Maple Leafs defense was much better early on as well as they have given up 8 total goals over their last two outings. Stay in the action with our NHL Picks.

Anthony Stolarz struggled immensely in the net for Toronto in Game 5, giving up two goals on 17 shots and posting a .882 save percentage before Ottawa found the empty net twice in the game. Mitch Marner is the offensive leader for Toronto in the playoffs leading the team with seven points to go along with the team leading 6 assists. Auston Matthews and William Nylander are both tied for second on the roster having scored six points apiece through the first five games played.

The Ottawa Senators return home Thursday running hot on a 2 game-winning streak putting themselves back in to the series. Offensively Ottawa was mediocre all season averaging 2.95 goals on 29.3 shots per game and averaged just two goals per game through the 1st 3 of this series. The Ottawa offense has woken up heavily over the last two outings pumping in four goals per game during their two game-winning streak.

Linus Ullmark was phenomenal in the net for Ottawa in Game 5 giving up no goals on 29 shots to seal the victory. Ottawa got a balanced scoring attack as four different players found the net for one goal each. Tim Stutzle and Brady Tkachuk Led the way for the Ottawa offense in game five with one goal and two assists each.

Maple Leafs vs Senators Pick Analysis

Toronto had a chance to wrap things up last game and faltered leading to this game. Look for Toronto to get back to their strengths on Thursday leading to the win. The Maple Leafs have been the better team in this series and will finish things off in game 6. Take the Leafs to cash in the plus money using their edge on both sides of the puck. Final Score Prediction, Toronto Maple Leafs win 4-2.

Our Free NHL Pick for Ottawa Senators vs Toronto Maple Leafs

Toronto Maple Leafs +100