Blues vs Jets Picks and Prediction – 5/1/2025

The St. Louis Blues (44-30-8) head to Winnipeg to take on the Winnipeg Jets (56-22-4) for a pivotal Game 5 with the series tied 2-2. St. Louis comes off a dominant 5-1 home win, while Winnipeg will try to bounce back after dropping two straight in St. Louis. Puck drop is set for 7:30 PM EST at Canada Life Centre. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

St. Louis finally found some offensive rhythm in the last two games, outscoring Winnipeg 12-3 after struggling early in the series. Jordan Kyrou continues to be a threat, and Robert Thomas is orchestrating the offense with 81 points this season. However, injuries could be a concern as defenseman Tyler Tucker is day-to-day and Torey Krug remains on long-term IR.

Defensively, the Blues allow 2.82 goals per game, backed by Jordan Binnington and Joel Hofer, who have a combined GAA around 2.67. St. Louis' penalty kill is weaker at 74.3%, and that could be exploited by Winnipeg's strong power play. Binnington has a .900 save percentage, which may not be enough if the Jets push the tempo. Discipline will be key with 619 penalty minutes logged this year.

Winnipeg returns home, where they are 30-7-4, needing a reset after getting shelled twice on the road. Kyle Connor, who posted 97 points, including 41 goals, must reignite the offense. They’ll miss Nikolaj Ehlers, out until May 4, but Connor and Mark Scheifele can carry the attack when needed.

Defensively, Winnipeg has been a powerhouse all year, allowing just 2.32 goals per game and ranking top-tier with a 79.4% penalty kill. Connor Hellebuyck is the backbone with a stunning 2.01 GAA and a .925 save percentage. Playing at home and backed by Hellebuyck’s elite play, the Jets should tighten up defensively and bring physicality to slow down the Blues' scorers.

Despite St. Louis catching fire offensively, Winnipeg at home with Connor Hellebuyck in net and a far stronger special-teams edge makes the difference. The Jets’ 28.9% power play and stingy defense should lock this game down, especially after two wake-up call losses. Expect Kyle Connor to step up big-time and push Winnipeg ahead in the series. Final Score Prediction: Winnipeg Jets win 4-2.