Senators vs Maple Leafs Picks and Prediction – 4/29/2025

By: Cameron Ross |

Last Updated: 04/28/2025 at 9:17 PM ET

Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs 04/29/25 - NHL Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 4/29/2025, 11:00 PM UTC
Latest Odds: TOR -170 ; O/U 5.5

Senators vs Maple Leafs Prediction

The Ottawa Senators will be back on the road Tuesday night for game 5 of their first round series in Toronto against the Toronto Maple Leafs. Ottawa has struggled in the postseason with just one win through four games played thus far following a one goal overtime victory in their last outing. The Ottawa offense has been mediocre this season 2.95 goals and 29.3 shots per game and the Senators have averaged just 2.5 goals per game through four games played. Defensively Ottawa was solid enough during the regular year allowing 2.8 three goals and 28.6 shots but have given up 15 goals through four games in this series. Stay in the action with our NHL Picks.

Brady Tkachuk is one of the offensive leaders for Ottawa in the playoffs tied for first having scored three points to go along with a team leading two goals through four games played. Jake Sanderson and Claude Giroux have both scored three points during the postseason as well, while both are tied for a team high to assist through four games played.

The Toronto Maple Leafs return home Tuesday looking to end this series in five games. Toronto comes into this game having gone for the last five overall following their loss in game four. Offensively Toronto has averaged 3.26 goals and 28 shots per game this season but have averaged 3.8 goals over their last five games out. Defensively Toronto has been solid this year allowing 2.79 goals and 29.3 shots per game but gave up four goals in their last outing.

Mitch Marner has led the way for Toronto in the playoffs with a team leading 7 points and has a team high 6 assists overall. William Nylander is second on the roster with six points in the playoffs, while  two other players have scored five times in the playoffs. John Tavares is one of two players with five points in the playoffs and is tied for the team lead with three goals scored through four games played.

Senators vs Maple Leafs Pick Analysis

Toronto has been in full control of this series coming into game 5 up 3 games to 1. The Maple Leafs are stronger on both sides of the puck and will continue that momentum in game 5 at home. Toronto has scored 15 goals through 4 games proving their offense is the superior unit and that will again be the difference Tuesday. Final Score Prediction, Toronto Blue Jays win 4-1.

Our Free NHL Pick for Toronto Maple Leafs vs Ottawa Senators

Toronto Maple Leafs -170