Finlande vs Sweden 2/15/25 - NHL Picks & Predictions

Finland enters this matchup after a tough 4-3 overtime loss against Canada in the 4 Nations Face-Off tournament. The Finns are looking to bounce back after a game where Henri Jokiharju was the only goal scorer among the skaters, while Mikael Granlund registered an assist. Offensively, Finland struggled to generate consistent pressure, managing only a single goal in regulation. The top forwards, including Sebastian Aho, Roope Hintz, and Mikko Rantanen, need to step up if Finland hopes to break through against Sweden’s defense. The power play was non-existent in the previous outing, going scoreless, which is a major concern given the team’s inability to finish at even strength. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

Defensively, Finland has major issues that need to be addressed. Juuse Saros was under siege in the last game, allowing six goals on 32 shots, and posting an uncharacteristically low .813 save percentage. The defensive unit, led by Jokiharju and Esa Lindell, needs to tighten up in front of the goaltender, as they allowed too many high-danger scoring chances. The penalty kill has also been subpar, operating at just 50%, which could be a problem against Sweden’s dangerous power play. If Finland doesn't clean up its defensive lapses, it could be another long night against a Swedish team that can capitalize on mistakes.

Sweden is coming off a 4-3 overtime loss against Canada, but they showed more offensive firepower than Finland. Lucas Raymond led the attack, scoring once and adding an assist, while Adrian Kempe also found the back of the net. Sweden’s offense is more balanced, with multiple players capable of producing in key moments. The power play, while not elite, is still more effective than Finland’s, and they can create sustained offensive zone pressure. Winning face-offs at a 42.6% rate could be an area of concern, but Sweden’s playmakers have proven they can create chances even with less possession.

Defensively, Sweden has the edge in this matchup. Filip Gustavsson allowed four goals in the last game but still managed a .857 save percentage, which is better than what Finland’s goalies have posted. The blue line, anchored by Victor Hedman and Erik Karlsson, is better structured than Finland’s, and they have been more effective in clearing pucks and limiting second-chance opportunities. If the Swedes can improve the penalty kill, which is currently at 0%, they should be able to neutralize Finland’s struggling attack. Overall, Sweden appears to be the more balanced team on both ends of the ice.

Sweden holds an advantage in goaltending and overall team depth, making them the likely winner in this contest. Finland’s struggles on special teams, combined with inconsistent defensive play, will allow Sweden to control the game. Expect Sweden’s offensive playmakers to capitalize on defensive lapses, leading to a solid win. Final Score Prediction: Sweden 4-2.