Oilers vs Stars Picks and Prediction – 5/30/2025

The Edmonton Oilers will head into Game 5 against the Dallas Stars with a 3-1 series lead after dominating the last three matchups, including a 4-1 win in Game 4. Edmonton had a 48-29-5 record this season, while Dallas was 50-26-6. This Western Conference Final showdown is set for Thursday at 6:00 PM EST at the American Airlines Center in Dallas. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

Edmonton completely flipped the script after losing Game 1. The Oilers have now won three straight, outscoring Dallas 13-2 during that stretch. Connor McDavid has five goals and 19 assists for 24 points to lead the Oilers in the postseason. Leon Draisaitl has a team-high seven goals and is second in points with 23. Stuart Skinner had a bounce-back game in net, allowing just one goal on 20 shots in Game 4. If Zach Hyman returns from a day-to-day status, that’s another dangerous offensive threat rejoining the lineup.

Defensively, Edmonton has tightened up, allowing just 2.87 goals per game and leading the series in penalty kill disruption. Edmonton’s power play is lethal at 23.7%, and their goaltending duo has done enough to back the high-powered offense. They’re averaging 32 shots on goal per game and have scored at least three goals in each of the last four.

Dallas appears to be a team desperately searching for answers. After winning Game 1, the Stars haven’t found a way past Edmonton’s defensive wall or special teams. Mikko Rantaen leads in goals in the postseason with 9 and points with 21, and Thomas Harley is second in points with 12, but the offense has stalled out badly. They’ve managed just two goals over the last three games combined and were completely shut down on their home ice in Game 3.

Defensively, Jake Oettinger has a 2.72 GAA and .908 save percentage, but he’s been under siege with minimal support. Dallas allows just 2.71 goals per game on the season and owns an 82% penalty kill, yet none of that has translated in this series. Nils Lundkvist remains out, hurting the depth on defense. If Dallas wants to extend this series, the offense needs to show up fast.

The Oilers have outshot, outscored, and outplayed Dallas in every way over the last three games. With Draisaitl and McDavid leading the charge, and with Edmonton’s power play converting at 23.7%, it’s hard to see the Stars suddenly flipping the momentum. Edmonton’s goaltending has stabilized, and the defense is holding firm. Final Score Prediction: Edmonton Oilers win 3-2.