Stars vs Jets Picks and Prediction – 5/10/2025

By: Jake Allmann |

Last Updated: 05/08/2025 at 10:49 PM ET

Dallas Stars at Winnipeg Jets 05/09/25 - NHL Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/10/2025, 1:30 AM UTC
Latest Odds: WPG -118 ; O/U 5.5

Stars vs Jets Prediction

Dallas took Game 1 on the road with a 3-2 win and now leads the series 1-0 heading into Game 2 at Canada Life Centre. The Stars come in at 50-26-6 overall and 22-16-3 away, while the Jets finished the regular season 56-22-4 and a dominant 30-7-4 at home. This one is set for Friday at 7:30 PM ET. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

Dallas handled business in a tight Game 1, taking a 3-2 win in Winnipeg behind a solid effort from Jake Oettinger and balanced offensive production. The Stars are playing with confidence after finishing off Colorado and now carrying a three-game win streak. They’ve won 4 of the last 5 and showed they can grind out wins on the road, even against physical teams like the Jets.

Defensively, Dallas held a high-powered Winnipeg offense to just 2 goals in Game 1. Oettinger has been steady, posting a 2.59 GAA and .909 save percentage this year, while backup Casey DeSmith owns a .915 save percentage. Matt Duchene leads the offense with 82 points, while Jason Robertson added 35 goals and 21 on the power play. Dallas averages 3.35 goals per game and allows 2.71, with a strong 82.0% penalty kill and 22.0% power play efficiency. Nils Lundkvist is the only Stars player out with an injury.

The Jets dropped Game 1 on home ice, which is rare given a 30-7-4 record in Winnipeg. They couldn’t capitalize on key scoring chances and gave up the game-winner late in the third. Winnipeg now faces real pressure to avoid heading to Dallas down 0-2. Connor Hellebuyck did his part in net but didn’t get the goal support needed.

Defensively, the Jets are elite. Hellebuyck has been lights out with a 2.01 GAA and a .925 save percentage across 47 wins this season. Offensively, Kyle Connor leads with 97 points, including 41 goals, and 19 on the power play. Winnipeg also matches Dallas at 3.35 goals per game but is stingier on defense, allowing just 2.32. Special teams have been a plus too, with a 28.9% power play rate. Defensemen Josh Morrissey and Logan Stanley are both day-to-day for Game 2.

Stars vs Jets Pick Analysis

This is a bounce-back spot for Winnipeg, which has been dominant at home all year. Hellebuyck remains the best goalie in the NHL this season, and the Jets own the better special teams. Dallas has been strong, but asking them to take two straight in Canada Life Centre is a stretch. Look for Winnipeg to tighten up and even the series. Final Score Prediction: Winnipeg Jets wins 4-2.

Our Free NHL Pick for Winnipeg Jets vs Dallas Stars

Winnipeg Jets -118