Stars vs Jets Picks and Prediction – 5/16/2025

The Dallas Stars visit the Winnipeg Jets on Thursday for Game 5 of their Western Conference second-round series. Dallas has a 3-1 lead after taking both home games, including a 3-1 win on Tuesday. The Jets are looking to stay alive after dropping three of the first four. Dallas is 50-26-6 and Winnipeg is 56-22-4, which includes the regular season and playoffs. Be ready for all the NHL action with our free NHL picks.

Dallas is on a tear, winning three of the last four games of the series. They took control at home with a 5-2 blowout on May 11 and followed it up by grinding out a 3-1 win two days later. Jason Robertson has been reliable with 35 goals this season, while Matt Duchene continues to be the engine with 82 points. The Stars are balanced, and road form hasn’t been bad either, going 22-16-3 away from home.

Defensively, Dallas is allowing 2.71 goals per game and posts a solid penalty kill rate of 82%. Jake Oettinger leads the Stars with 36 wins, a 2.59 GAA, and a .909 save percentage. Backup Casey DeSmith has been solid, with a slightly better save rate at .915. The Stars’ special teams have played a key role this series, and have scored 55 power-play goals this year. The only injury remains Nils Lundkvist, who is out long-term.

Winnipeg started the series strong with a dominant 4-0 win in Game 2 but has since dropped three straight. Kyle Connor continues to shine, leading with 97 points, including 41 goals and 56 assists. Despite the recent slide, the Jets went 30-7-4 at home during the season, which gives them hope going back to Canada Life Centre.

Defensively, Winnipeg owns the best goals against average in the league among playoff teams at 2.32 and allows only 27.2 shots per game. Connor Hellebuyck has been hockey’s best with 47 wins, a 2.01 GAA, and a .925 save percentage. The Jets hold a huge edge on the power play at 28.9%, but the penalty kill sits at just 79.4%. No injuries are reported, which gives them full lineup availability in this do-or-die game.

I like the Winnipeg Jets at home on Thursday. Winnipeg owns one of the best home records in hockey and still has Connor Hellebuyck in top form. The special teams edge, especially on the power play, will tilt this tight matchup in favor of the Jets and send the series back to Dallas for Game 6. Final Score Prediction: Winnipeg Jets wins 3-2.