Stars vs Wild Picks and Prediction – 4/6/2025

Dallas rolls into Minnesota with a hot hand, winners of five straight including a 5-1 blowout over Nashville. Sitting second in the Central Division at 50-21-4, the Stars are just four points behind Winnipeg. Minnesota, meanwhile, has dropped four of the last five after a 3-1 loss to the Islanders. The Wild are clinging to playoff hopes, sitting fifth in the division with a 41-29-7 record. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

The Stars are cruising, dominating recent games with a combined 22 goals over the last five. Jason Robertson has been the top dog offensively, sitting at 77 points with 33 goals and 44 assists. Matt Duchene has chipped in 48 assists. The power play is clicking at 22.1%, and they’ve got a solid penalty kill at 84.9%. Dallas is averaging 3.43 goals per game while giving up just 2.51. Jake Oettinger is locked in with a 2.45 GAA and .912 save percentage, and Casey DeSmith has been even better with a 2.30 GAA and .922 SV%. Injuries to Miro Heiskanen, Tyler Seguin, and Jamie Benn will hurt.

Defensively, the Stars have been efficient, allowing only 28.4 shots per game and ranking among the league's best in goals allowed. The blue line has been tight, and despite the injuries, they’ve barely flinched. The penalty kill unit is fourth in the league. They’re also disciplined, with just 519 total penalty minutes on the year.

Minnesota is reeling. The Wild have lost to the Islanders, Rangers, and Devils (twice) and only have a win over Washington to show for the last two weeks. Matt Boldy leads the team with 64 points, including 25 goals and 39 assists. But with Kirill Kaprizov, Joel Eriksson Ek, and Jake Middleton all on the shelf, the offense has looked flat. The team is only putting up 2.68 goals a game and struggling to maintain puck possession.

Defensively, Minnesota is vulnerable. They allow 2.84 goals per game and face nearly 30 shots nightly. Special teams are a sore spot, with the penalty kill down at 72.2% and the power play sitting below average at 20.3%. Filip Gustavsson has been solid in goal with a 2.56 GAA and .915 SV%, but the team in front of him is leaking too much, especially against high-powered teams like Dallas.

Dallas has won five straight and owns a 2-1 series lead over Minnesota. Jason Robertson is on fire, and the goaltending tandem of Oettinger and DeSmith is one of the best. The Wild are hurting without Kaprizov and Eriksson Ek, and the defense has looked shaky. Dallas is deeper, hotter, and more complete right now. Final Score Prediction: Dallas Stars win 4-2.