Stars vs Oilers Picks and Prediction – 5/28/2025

Dallas and Edmonton clash again Tuesday night in Game 4 of the Western Conference Final at Rogers Place. The Oilers hold a 2-1 series lead after smashing the Stars 6-1 in Game 3. Dallas sits at 50-26-6 and is 22-16-3 on the road, while Edmonton is 48-29-5 and a solid 25-13-3 at home. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

Dallas needs a response after dropping back-to-back games to Edmonton by a combined 9-1 score. The Stars were smothered offensively in Game 3 and gave up goals in bunches, looking out of sync from puck drop. After an impressive 6-3 win in Game 1, Dallas hasn't scored more than a single goal in either of the last two games, and the frustration is building.

Defensively, Dallas needs to regroup. Jake Oettinger has a 2.59 GAA with a .909 save percentage and must steal one on the road. The Stars are averaging 3.35 goals per game and giving up just 2.71, backed by strong penalty kill work at 82.0%. But with Roope Hintz out and Nils Lundkvist still on IR, the depth is tested. Matt Duchene leads the way with 82 points while Jason Robertson leads in goals with 35. The power play clicks at 22.0%, but the Stars need better execution to stay in this series.

Edmonton looked like a different animal in Game 3, blitzing Dallas behind two-goal performances from both Zach Hyman and Connor McDavid. The Oilers have now taken two straight and carry a ton of momentum heading into Game 4 at home. With a 3-0 win and now a 6-1 thrashing, they’re getting contributions from everywhere and feeding off the Rogers Place crowd.

The Oilers average 3.16 goals per game while allowing 2.87. Stuart Skinner rebounded with 33 saves last game and holds a 2.81 GAA with a .896 save percentage. Leon Draisaitl is having a monster postseason with 106 points on the year, including 52 goals. The power play is dangerous at 23.7%, but the penalty kill is weaker at 78.2%. With Mattias Ekholm out, the blue line is thinner, but Edmonton is skating with confidence and dictating the tempo.

The Oilers have outscored the Stars 9-1 in the last two and are playing with more urgency and pace. Dallas hasn’t solved the defensive pressure, and Oettinger’s been shaky. Draisaitl and McDavid are clicking at the right time, and with the home ice, this feels like another Oilers win. Final Score Prediction: Edmonton Oilers win 4-2.