Stars vs Avalanche Picks and Prediction – 1/18/2025

The Dallas Stars (28-15-1) face the Colorado Avalanche (27-18-1) in an exciting Central Division clash. Both teams come into the matchup with solid recent performances, as Dallas is 4-1 in its last five games, while Colorado is 3-2. This will be the second meeting of the season, with Dallas winning the first 5-3. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

Dallas has been a balanced team offensively, averaging 3.16 goals per game with contributions from Roope Hintz, who leads the Stars with 19 goals, and Jason Robertson, who has 25 assists. Matt Duchene has also been key, tallying 41 points on the season. The Stars’ power play, however, is a modest 17.4%, which they’ll need to improve against Colorado’s penalty kill. In the net, Jake Oettinger has been stellar, boasting a 2.30 goals-against average and a .912 save percentage, providing consistency for a defense allowing only 2.46 goals per game. 

Defensively, Dallas has been impressive, ranking second in penalty-kill percentage at 85.6%. This discipline could neutralize Colorado’s potent power play, which converts at 20.9%. The Stars have also limited shots against, allowing just 26.4 per game. The ability to control play in the defensive zone has been a cornerstone to success, and they’ll need to bring that same intensity against the Avalanche.

Colorado is led by Nathan MacKinnon, who has 72 points (17 goals, 55 assists) and is the engine of the offense. Mikko Rantanen’s 25 goals, including eight on the power play, make him another critical threat. The Avalanche average 3.30 goals per game, showcasing offensive firepower. However, discipline remains an issue, with Colorado taking 318 penalty minutes. This has left them vulnerable, as evidenced by a 79.7% penalty kill rate.

Defensively, Colorado has seen solid goaltending from MacKenzie Blackwood, who has a 2.54 GAA and a .918 save percentage. Colorado’s defense, allowing 3.11 goals per game, has been inconsistent, and they’ll need to tighten up against a balanced Dallas attack. The ability to win in close games will be crucial, especially if the Stars exploit gaps in the Avalanche’s defensive structure.

The Stars’ defensive prowess and consistent goaltending from Jake Oettinger give them the edge. While Colorado’s offense is potent, Dallas’ ability to limit high-quality chances and dominate special teams will prove decisive. Final Score Prediction: Dallas Stars win 4-2.