Avalanche vs Capitals Picks and Prediction – 11/22/2024

The Colorado Avalanche, with a 10-9 record, visit the Washington Capitals (13-4-1) at the Capital One Arena. Colorado is fresh off a 3-2 win over Philadelphia, while Washington has been dominant, recently defeating Utah 6-2. Hit the ice running with our NHL picks.

Colorado’s offense is driven by Mikko Rantanen with 12 goals and 15 assists, and Nathan MacKinnon contributing seven goals. The power play, ranked fourth at 30.6%, has been a bright spot. However, the team struggles defensively, sitting 30th in goals against (70) and 28th in penalty kill percentage (73.5%). Goaltending duties may fall on Justus Annunen with Alexandar Georgiev out, and his .886 save percentage and 2.81 GAA leave room for concern. The Avalanche need to tighten up on defense and avoid penalty troubles if they hope to compete against the Capitals’ potent attack.

Defensively, Colorado has allowed too many high-danger chances, evident in a recent loss to Washington, 5-2. Injuries to key players like Ross Colton and Tucker Poolman further challenge depth. Penalty discipline will be vital as they face Washington’s league-leading shooting percentage (.150). The Avalanche must find a way to neutralize the Capitals’ offensive surges and win the physical battles along the boards.

Washington’s offense has been firing on all cylinders, led by Alex Ovechkin’s 15 goals and Dylan Strome’s strong two-way play. Even with Ovechkin's recent lower-leg injury, the team has shown versatility. Logan Thompson has been solid in net with a .913 save percentage and a 2.63 GAA, providing the Capitals with stability. Ranked second in goals for (78), the Capitals are also among the league's best in assists (129). The power play, though less effective at 16.4%, is complemented by an elite penalty kill, which sits third in the NHL (87.7%).

Defensively, Washington is among the stingiest teams, allowing just 50 goals (7th). They capitalize on turnovers and have an aggressive forecheck, which was evident in the previous game against Colorado. Missing Sonny Milano and T.J. Oshie may test depth, but defensive depth and structured play will likely remain intact.

The Capitals have the edge with disciplined defense and scoring, even without Ovechkin. Colorado’s defensive inconsistencies and key injuries will likely lead to a downfall on Thursday. Expect the Capitals to control the tempo and capitalize on the Avalanche’s mistakes. Final Score Prediction: Washington Capitals win 4-2.