Thunder vs Nuggets Picks and Prediction – 5/16/2025

On Thursday, the Oklahoma City Thunder will visit the Denver Nuggets for Game 6 of their Western Conference semifinals best-of-seven series. Oklahoma City leads the series 3-2 following its 112-105 victory over Denver on Tuesday night in Game 5. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander scored 31 points to lead Oklahoma City. The Thunder shot 50.0% overall and committed just 14 turnovers. Keep up to date with all the NBA action with our expert NBA picks.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads Oklahoma City in scoring and assists, averaging 28.0 points and 6.7 assists per game. Chet Holmgren is the leading rebounder, averaging 9.4 rebounds per game. Oklahoma City has four players who average double figures in scoring. The Thunder score an average of 118.1 points per game, shooting 44.3% overall and 31.8% from 3-point territory.

The Denver Nuggets are in a must-win situation on Thursday when hosting Oklahoma City. Denver will be eliminated from the postseason with a loss on Thursday, while a win would extend the series to a deciding Game 7 in Oklahoma City on Sunday. Nikola Jokic led Denver with 44 points in Tuesday’s loss. The Nuggets shot just 41.2% overall and 28.3% from three-point territory. Denver committed 16 turnovers.

Nikola Jokic leads Denver in scoring, rebounding, and assists, averaging 27.4 points, 13.4 rebounds, and 8.1 assists per game. Jamal Murray is second in scoring, averaging 22.3 points per game, and is one of five players who average double figures in scoring. Denver scores an average of 107.4 points per game, shooting 45.2% overall and 36.7% from 3-point territory.

The Denver Nuggets will bounce back from a loss in Game 5 with a victory at home on Thursday in Game 6 to force a deciding Game 7 in Oklahoma City on Sunday. Denver is 4-1 ATS in its last five played at home. The Nuggets have covered the number in five of their last six, while Oklahoma City has failed to cover the number in six of its last seven and five of its last six head-to-head with Denver. Final Score Prediction: Denver Nuggets win and cover ATS 111-109.