Thunder vs Nuggets Picks and Prediction – 5/11/2025

On Sunday, the Oklahoma City Thunder will visit the Denver Nuggets for Game 4 of their Western Conference semifinals best-of-seven series. Oklahoma City trails in the series 2-1 after losing to Denver 113-104 on Friday in Game 3. Jalen Williams was the leading scorer for Oklahoma City with 32 points. The Thunder shot only 38.5% overall and 25.7% from 3-point territory. Keep up to date with all the NBA action with our expert NBA picks.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads Oklahoma City in scoring and assists, averaging 29.7 points and 6.7 assists per game. Isaiah Hartenstein is the leading rebounder, averaging 8.7 rebounds per game. Jalen Williams is second in scoring, averaging 21.9 points per game. Oklahoma City scores an average of 122.6 points per game, shooting 45.4% overall and 32.6% from 3-point territory.

The Denver Nuggets look to take a commanding 3-1 lead in the series by defeating Oklahoma City on Sunday in Game 4 at home. Jamal Murray was the leading scorer for Denver in Friday’s win with 27 points. Denver shot 45.9% overall and 40.0% from three-point territory. The Nuggets won despite committing 16 turnovers to only 11 by OKC and being out-rebounded by the Thunder 54-49.

Nikola Jokic leads Denver in scoring, rebounding, and assists, averaging 24.8 points, 12.9 rebounds, and 8.9 assists per game. Jamal Murray is second in scoring, averaging 22.1 points per game. Denver has six players who average double figures in scoring. The Nuggets score an average of 109.4 points per game, shooting 46.6% overall and 38.2% from 3-point territory.

Oklahoma City will bounce back with a victory in Game 4 to level the series at 2-2, but the play here is UNDER. The UNDER has cashed in eight of the last 12 played head-to-head between Oklahoma City and Denver, and in five of the last six Denver has played at home versus Oklahoma City. Oklahoma City finished the regular season with the second-ranked defense, holding opponents to an average of just 107.6 points per game. Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder wins but our best play is UNDER 113-109.