Timberwolves vs Thunder Picks and Prediction – 5/21/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 05/19/2025 at 9:16 PM ET

Minnesota Timberwolves at Oklahoma City Thunder 05/20/25 - NBA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/21/2025, 12:30 AM UTC
Latest Odds: OKC -7.5 ; O/U 215.5

Timberwolves vs Thunder Prediction

The Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Oklahoma City Thunder on Tuesday for Game 1 of their Western Conference Finals best-of-seven series. Minnesota reached the conference finals by eliminating the Golden State Warriors 4-1 in their semifinal series. Minnesota lost the first game of that series but won each of the next four. The Timberwolves have won eight of 10 playoff games this season. Keep up to date with all the NBA action with our expert NBA picks.

Anthony Edwards leads Minnesota in scoring during the playoffs, averaging 26.5 points per game. Julius Randle is second in scoring and the leader in assists, averaging 23.9 points and 5.9 assists per game. Rudy Gobert is the leading rebounder, averaging 9.6 rebounds per game. Minnesota scores an average of 108.2 points per game, shooting 46.5% overall and 35.0% from 3-point territory.

The Oklahoma City Thunder reached the Conference Finals by eliminating the Denver Nuggets 4-3 in their semifinal series. Oklahoma City defeated Denver 125-93 on Sunday in the deciding seventh game of the series. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the leading scorer for Oklahoma City with 35 points. Oklahoma City held Denver to 39.3% shooting overall and forced the Nuggets into committing 23 turnovers.

During the postseason, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander leads Oklahoma City in scoring and assists, averaging 28.4 points and 6.6 assists per game. Chet Holmgren is the leading rebounder, averaging 9.6 rebounds per game. Jalen Williams is second in scoring, averaging 19.2 points per game. Oklahoma City scores an average of 116.3 points per game, shooting 45.0% overall and 32.1% from 3-point territory.

Timberwolves vs Thunder Pick Analysis

The Oklahoma City Thunder will open this Western Conference Finals best-of-seven series with a victory at home, but the Minnesota Timberwolves will play well enough to cover the number. Minnesota has covered the number in six of the last 10 head-to-head versus Oklahoma City. The Timberwolves have covered the number in seven of the last eight during the playoffs, and OKC is 1-4 ATS in its last five. Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder wins but falls short ATS 110-107.

Our Free NBA Pick for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves +7.5