Timberwolves vs Warriors Picks and Prediction – 5/11/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 05/09/2025 at 9:08 PM ET

Minnesota Timberwolves at Golden State Warriors 05/10/25 - NBA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/11/2025, 12:30 AM UTC
Latest Odds: MIN -5.5 ; O/U 201.5

Timberwolves vs Warriors Prediction

On Saturday, the Minnesota Timberwolves visit the Golden State Warriors for Game 3 of their Western Conference semifinals best-of-seven series. Minnesota evened the series 1-1 with a 117-93 win in Game 2 on Thursday night. Julius Randle was the leading scorer for Minnesota with 24 points. The Timberwolves shot 50.6% overall and committed just 13 turnovers. Keep up to date with all the NBA action with our expert NBA picks.

During the playoffs, Anthony Edwards leads Minnesota in scoring and assists, averaging 26.2 points and 5.5 assists per game. Rudy Gobert is the leading rebounder, averaging 10.1 rebounds per game, and Julius Randle is second in scoring, averaging 21.8 points per game. Minnesota scores an average of 104.2 points per game, shooting 43.4% overall and 30.2% from 3-point territory.

The Golden State Warriors look to take a 2-1 lead in this series with a victory at home on Friday when hosting the Minnesota Timberwolves. Jonathan Kuminga was the leading scorer for Golden State in Thursday’s Game 2 loss with 18 points. Kuminga made eight of 11 field goal attempts, but overall, Golden State shot just 44.7%. However, the Warriors committed 20 turnovers in the loss. 

Stephen Curry is out injured for Golden State. Jimmy Butler III is leading Golden State in scoring, rebounding, and assists, averaging 18.6 points, 6.7 rebounds, and 5.3 assists per game. Golden State has three active players who average double figures in scoring. The Warriors score an average of 103.4 points per game, shooting 42.8% overall and 36.6% from 3-point territory.

Timberwolves vs Warriors Pick Analysis

Golden State will be playing at home on Saturday in Game 3, which is advantageous for the Warriors, but without Stephen Curry, Golden State will have a hard time keeping pace with Minnesota. Golden State has covered the number in just two of its last six overall and one of its last seven played at home. Minnesota has covered the number in four of its last five, including Game 2’s 24-point victory. Final Score Prediction: Minnesota Timberwolves win and cover ATS 105-95.

Our Free NBA Pick for Golden State Warriors vs Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota Timberwolves -5.5