Grizzlies vs Thunder Picks and Prediction – 4/20/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 04/19/2025 at 6:55 PM ET

Memphis Grizzlies at Oklahoma City Thunder 04/20/25 - NBA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 4/20/2025, 5:00 PM UTC
Latest Odds: OKC -12.5 ; O/U 226.5

Grizzlies vs Thunder Prediction

On Sunday, the Memphis Grizzlies visit the Oklahoma City Thunder for Game 1 of their NBA Western Conference first-round best-of-seven series. Memphis lost to Golden State 121-116 on Tuesday in the battle for the seventh seed, but bounced back with a 120-106 victory over the Dallas Mavericks on Friday night in the final game of the play-in round to secure the 8th seed in the conference. Keep up to date with all the NBA action with our expert NBA picks.

Ja Morant leads Memphis in both scoring and assists, averaging 23.2 points and 7.3 assists per game, while Zach Edey is the leading rebounder, averaging 8.3 rebounds per game. Jaren Jackson Jr is the second-leading scorer, averaging 22.2 points per game. Memphis scores an average of 121.7 points per game, shooting 47.9% overall and 36.7% from 3-point territory.

The Oklahoma City Thunder completed the regular season 68-14. The Thunder were first in both the Western Conference and the NBA. Oklahoma City defeated the New Orleans Pelicans 115-100 in the final game of the regular season last Sunday. The Thunder have won four straight and 15 of the last 17 and are heavily favored to win this first-round series.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is leading Oklahoma City in scoring and assists, averaging 32.7 points and 6.4 assists per game. Isaiah Hartenstein is the leading rebounder, averaging 10.7 rebounds per game. Jalen Williams is second in scoring, averaging 21.6. Oklahoma City scores an average of 120.5 points per game, shooting 48.2% overall and 37.4% from 3-point territory. 

Grizzlies vs Thunder Pick Analysis

While the OVER is a solid choice in this matchup, the play here is the Oklahoma City Thunder. Oklahoma City has covered the number in 15 of its last 17. The Thunder completed the regular season first in the Western Conference and the NBA with 68 victories in 82 games and were 55-23-4 ATS. Oklahoma City finished 4th in the NBA in scoring (120.5 ppg) and second in points allowed (107.6 ppg). Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City Thunder wins and covers ATS 129-114.

Our Free NBA Pick for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Memphis Grizzlies

Oklahoma City Thunder -12.5