Nuggets vs Thunder Picks and Prediction – 5/14/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 05/12/2025 at 8:29 PM ET

Denver Nuggets at Oklahoma City Thunder 05/13/25 - NBA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/14/2025, 1:30 AM UTC
Latest Odds: OKC -10.5 ; O/U 220.5

Nuggets vs Thunder Prediction

On Tuesday, the Denver Nuggets visit the Oklahoma City Thunder for Game 5 of their Western Conference semifinals best-of-seven series. The series is tied at 2-2 after Denver lost 92-87 to Oklahoma City on Sunday. Nikola Jokic was the leading scorer for Denver in Sunday’s loss with 27 points. The Nuggets shot just 31.3% overall and 24.4% from 3-point territory. Keep up to date with all the NBA action with our expert NBA picks.

Nikola Jokic leads Denver in scoring, rebounding, and assists, averaging 24.7 points, 12.7 rebounds, and 8.9 assists per game. Jamal Murray is second in scoring, averaging 22.2 points per game, and is one of six players who average double figures in scoring for the Nuggets. Denver scores an average of 109.4 points per game, shooting 46.5% overall and 38.5% from 3-point territory.

The Oklahoma City Thunder look to take a 3-2 lead in the series with a victory on Tuesday when hosting the Denver Nuggets. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the leading scorer for Oklahoma City on Sunday with 25 points. Oklahoma City shot only 35.6% overall and 24.4% from 3-point territory, but the Thunder outrebounded the Nuggets 55-49.

During the playoffs, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is leading Oklahoma City in scoring and assists, averaging 28.0 points and 6.7 assists per game. Chet Holmgren is the leading rebounder, averaging 9.1 rebounds per game, while Jalen Williams is second in scoring, averaging 22.6 points per game. Oklahoma City has four players who average double figures in scoring, and as a team, the Thunder score an average of 121.7 points per game.

Nuggets vs Thunder Pick Analysis

The Denver Nuggets will cover the number on Tuesday when visiting the Oklahoma City Thunder in Game 5. Denver has covered the number in four of its last five, four of its last five versus Oklahoma City, and six of the last eight played on the road versus the Thunder. Oklahoma City has failed to cover the number in five of its last six. Nikola Jokic, Jamal Murray, and Aaron Gordon, among others, will keep Denver close enough to cover the nut Tuesday. Final Score Prediction, Oklahoma City Thunder win but fall short ATS 112-105.

Our Free NBA Pick for Oklahoma City Thunder vs Denver Nuggets

Denver Nuggets +10.5