Blue Jays vs Mets Picks and Prediction – 4/5/2025

The Blue Jays head to Citi Field to take on the Mets in an early-season interleague clash. Toronto sits at 5-2, coming off a 4-2 win over the Nationals, while New York is 3-3 after edging Miami 6-5 in extra innings. Friday’s pitching matchup has Chris Bassitt (1-0, 1.50 ERA) taking the mound for the Jays against Griffin Canning (0-1, 3.18 ERA) for the Mets. First pitch is at 5:10 PM EST. Elevate your MLB game with our top-notch MLB picks.

Toronto is off to a hot start behind consistent bats and solid outings from the rotation. Bassitt gave up no home runs and struck out seven in six innings during his season debut. The Jays have won four straight, scoring 17 runs in that stretch. Offensively, George Springer is locked in, hitting .429 with a .520 OBP. Andres Gimenez leads the team with three homers and six RBIs. Toronto's biggest concern is a handful of injuries, including outfielder Daulton Varsho and starter Max Scherzer on the IL.

Defensively, the Blue Jays carry a 4.43 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP. The pitching staff has struck out 65 and walked 21, holding opponents to a .232 average. The bullpen has been sharp in night games, where they’re unbeaten. The power hasn't exploded yet with only five home runs as a team, but they’re hitting .288 overall and slugging .429. The lineup has shown balance and contact over power early on.

New York is .500 after splitting six road games, and they’re coming off a dramatic 11-inning win against the Marlins. Canning had a decent first outing, allowing four hits and one homer across 5.2 innings. Pete Alonso has eight RBIs and two homers, helping to drive a lineup that hasn’t quite clicked yet, hitting just .188 as a team. Brandon Nimmo and Alonso are providing most of the offensive production with limited help around them.

Defensively, the Mets have been sharp early with a 2.38 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP. They’ve allowed just 23 runs over six games and limited opposing hitters to a .209 average. The bullpen has kept them competitive, and the strikeout-to-walk ratio is solid at 55 to 22. Despite the offensive slump, the pitching has bought time for the bats to wake up. Injuries to depth players like Rafael Ortega and Ronny Mauricio haven’t hurt much yet.

Toronto is simply swinging it better right now. The Jays are hitting .288 as a team compared to the Mets’ .188 and are riding a four-game win streak. Bassitt has the edge on the mound with his 1.50 ERA and no long balls allowed. Combine that with New York’s quiet bats, and this one tilts toward Toronto. Final Score Prediction: Blue Jays win 5-3.