Rangers vs Padres Picks and Prediction – 7/6/2025

On Saturday, the Texas Rangers (43-44) face off against the San Diego Padres (46-40) at Petco Park in San Diego, California. Keep up to date with all the MLB action, with our expert MLB picks.

San Diego comes into this matchup on a one-game losing streak and has dropped three of their last five games prior to their series opener against Texas. In their recent 5-1 defeat against the Philadelphia Phillies, Padres pitcher Dylan Cease took the mound for six innings, during which he gave up eight hits and four earned runs. Cease managed to strike out four batters and impressively did not issue a single walk in his outing. On the offensive side, Fernando Tatis Jr. has been the Padres’ main power source so far this season, leading the team with 15 home runs. Manny Machado and Gavin Sheets have also made significant contributions, each hitting 13 home runs, making them tied as the team’s second-most prolific home run hitters. Machado, in particular, has been a standout performer with 50 RBIs, the most on the team. He also boasts San Diego’s best batting average at .289, underlining his consistency at the plate. Defensively, the Padres have struggled lately, giving up an average of five runs per game over their last five contests. This stretch has left them in a tight race for the third NL Wild Card spot, currently tied with the Cardinals. As the playoff race intensifies, San Diego is hoping for improved performances from their pitching staff to help solidify their postseason chances. Overall this year, the Padres’ offense has averaged 4.1 runs per game.

Texas enters this game on a two-game winning streak and has won three of their last five games prior to their series opener in San Diego. In a dominant 6-0 victory over Baltimore, Marcus Semien played a key role for the Rangers, going 1-for-4 at the plate. His one hit came in the form of a home run, which not only put a run on the board for himself but also drove in three runs overall. This season, Wyatt Langford stands out as the Rangers’ top power hitter with 13 home runs, the most on the team so far. Close behind him is Corey Seager, who has contributed 11 homers, making him Texas’ second most prolific home run hitter. When it comes to driving in runs, Adolis Garcia leads the club with an impressive 49 RBIs, providing a consistent run-producing presence. Josh Smith currently holds the team’s highest batting average, hitting .283 for the season. Recently, the Rangers’ offense has been firing on all cylinders. They’ve averaged 5.8 runs per game over their last five contests as they try to climb the standings. Right now, Texas trails Seattle by two and a half games in the race for the third AL Wild Card spot. Despite their recent offensive surge, the team averages 3.8 runs per game this season.

The Padres appear to be hitting a rough patch lately, as their offense has been underperforming and struggling to produce runs. Going into this matchup, they'll be hoping to both snap their slump and put a stop to the Rangers’ recent hot streak at the plate. On the mound for Texas will be Jack Leiter, who holds a 4-5 record along with a 4.29 ERA so far this season. San Diego will counter with Stephen Kolek, whose numbers are slightly better—he enters the game with a 3-3 record and a 3.73 ERA. Final Score Prediction, San Diego Padres win 4-1.