Rangers vs Yankees Picks and Prediction – 5/21/2025

The Texas Rangers (25-23) visit the New York Yankees (27-19) on Tuesday evening at Yankee Stadium with first pitch at 5:05 PM EST. Texas dropped a tight 4-3 game to the Astros in the last outing, while New York crushed the Mets 8-2 to take the Subway Series finale. Jacob deGrom (4-1, 2.29 ERA) gets the start for Texas, going up against Ryan Yarbrough (1-0, 3.70 ERA) for the Yankees in a righty-lefty matchup. Elevate your MLB game with our top-notch MLB picks.

Texas has alternated wins and losses over the last five games, splitting a tough series with Houston. deGrom continues to look sharp after returning from injury, coming in with a 0.98 WHIP and 53 strikeouts across 51 innings. The bats haven't been great — the Rangers rank 24th in batting average (.227) and are dead last in OBP among playoff contenders (.289), leaning heavily on guys like Wyatt Langford (9 HR) and Adolis Garcia (24 RBI).

On the mound, Texas has been much stronger. The Rangers own a 3.24 ERA and 1.13 WHIP as a staff, with opponents hitting just .222 against them. Even with multiple bullpen arms like Chris Martin and Patrick Murphy on the IL, the relief crew has held up. The team’s current pitching strength gives them a chance in games like this, especially when deGrom’s on the bump.

New York enters this one with momentum, having taken three of the last four. Aaron Judge is playing at an MVP level, hitting .401 with 15 home runs and 41 RBIs, while the lineup leads the league with 79 home runs and ranks top five in batting average (.261) and OBP (.347). With Stanton still out, others like Anthony Volpe and Gleyber Torres have stepped up to help carry the load behind Judge’s bat.

Pitching-wise, the Yankees have been solid but not dominant. Yarbrough has done his job in limited innings, and the bullpen’s been strong despite injuries to arms like Jayvien Sandridge and JT Brubaker. As a staff, New York holds a 3.54 ERA with a .205 opponent batting average, a stat that could put Texas in a tough spot given the Rangers' ongoing offensive struggles.

The Yankees' offense is clicking, with Judge putting up big numbers and the rest of the lineup getting it done even with injuries. deGrom may limit damage early, but Texas’ offense hasn’t proven it can back him up. New York has been a better home team (15-9) and owns a clear edge in offensive categories across the board. Final Score Prediction: Yankees win 5-2.