Rangers vs Astros Picks and Prediction – 7/12/2025

The season-long Silver Boot showdown continues as the Texas Rangers (46–48) journey to face the division-leading Houston Astros (55–38). With playoff hopes still alive for both, tonight’s pitcher's duel between Rangers ace Jacob deGrom (9–2, 2.29 ERA) and Astros workhorse Framber Valdez (10–4, 2.90 ERA) could swing momentum as MLB heads into the All-Star break⎯pure ace-level competition. Get in on the action with our free MLB picks.

The Rangers rely on elite run prevention—owning MLB’s lowest team ERA and ranking first in fielding to support their pitching core led by deGrom, who has recorded 10 quality starts and boasts a microscopic 0.91 WHIP. On the road, deGrom is 4–0 with a 2.72 ERA across eight starts, and he’s held the Astros scoreless over eight innings in his May outing. Even so, Texas’s offense lags—scoring just 4.0 runs per game (25th in MLB), though players like Corey Seager, Adolis García, and Wyatt Langford are capable of big moments.

Houston heads into this rematch recharged, led by Valdez’s scorching run—he’s won five straight starts, owns a 1.83 ERA in nine home outings, and is MLB’s ground‑ball king with the highest GB‑rate in the AL. Offensively, José Altuve and Isaac Paredes are red-hot—the Astros rank among the top 5 in runs per game and homers, and Daikin Park has been hitter-friendly lately. 

A classic ace duel at a hitter-friendly park. This will be a fantastic matchup and a treat for the fans to watch. With the tight margins and equivalent offenses, the value here is on the underdog's run line. We will be backing the Rangers at +1.5, with a sprinkle on the ML. Rangers win 3-2.