Rays vs Marlins Picks and Prediction – 5/17/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 05/16/2025 at 7:23 PM ET

Tampa Bay Rays at Miami Marlins 05/17/25 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/17/2025, 8:10 PM UTC
Latest Odds: TAM -155 ; O/U 8

Rays vs Marlins Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays play the second game of a three-game series on the road Saturday versus the Miami Marlins. Tampa Bay is 20-23 following an 8-3 victory over the Toronto Blue Jays on Thursday. Josh Lowe had three hits, including a home run, while Brandon Lowe hit a pair of homers. Tampa Bay is fourth in the American League East, five games behind the first-place New York Yankees. Keep up to date with all the MLB action with our expert MLB picks.

Jonathan Aranda is batting .325 to lead Tampa Bay and has team highs of 41 hits and an on-base percentage of .415. Junior Caminero is the leader in home runs with eight, and Brandon Lowe is the leader in RBI with 24. Tampa Bay is batting .266 with a .372 slugging percentage. On Saturday, Tampa Bay will send Drew Rasmussen to the mound. The right-hander is 1-4 with a 3.38 ERA, 35 Ks, and 10 BBs.

The Miami Marlins improved to 16-26 following a 3-1 victory over the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday. Kyle Stowers hit two solo homers and tripled for the Marlins while Ryan Weathers threw five solid innings. Miami snapped a three-game losing streak with Wednesday’s victory, but the Marlins are last in the National League East, 11 games behind the first-place New York Mets.

Kyle Stowers is batting .300 with 10 home runs, 29 RBI, and an on-base percentage of .375 to lead Miami in the four categories. Xavier Edwards is the leader in hits with 45. Miami is batting .244 with a .382 slugging percentage. On Saturday, the Miami Marlins will send Edward Cabrera to the mound. The right-hander is 0-1 with a 5.52 ERA, 26 Ks, and 13 BBs.

Rays vs Marlins Pick Analysis

Miami will win on the road Saturday when visiting Tampa Bay, but the play here is UNDER. The UNDER has cashed in 12 of Tampa Bay's last 18 and four of Miami's last five. Tampa Bay starter Drew Rasmussen has a 3.38 ERA and a 1.05 WHIP. Miami starter Edward Cabrera has had two consecutive strong outings, allowing three runs on 10 hits across 10.2 innings. Final Score Prediction: Miami Marlins win, but our best play is UNDER 4-2.

Our Free MLB Pick for Miami Marlins vs Tampa Bay Rays

Under 8