Rays vs Red Sox Picks and Prediction – 7/12/2025

The Tampa Bay Rays play the third game of a four-game series on the road Saturday versus the Boston Red Sox. Tampa Bay is 50-44 following Thursday’s 4-3 loss to Boston in the opening game of the series. Tampa Bay has lost three of the last four. The Rays are third in the American League East, 4 ½ games behind the first-place Toronto Blue Jays. Keep up to date with all the MLB action with our MLB predictions.

Jonathan Aranda is batting .326 with an on-base percentage of .401 to lead Tampa Bay in both categories. Junior Caminero leads Tampa Bay in home runs with 23 and RBI with 59, while Yandy Diaz leads in hits with 102. Tampa Bay is batting .260 with a .411 slugging percentage. On Saturday, the Tampa Bay Rays will send Shane Baz to the mound. The right-hander is 8-4 with a 4.34 ERA, 104 Ks, and 38 BBs.

The Boston Red Sox are 50-45 following Thursday’s one-run victory over the Rays. Ceddanne Rafaela hit a two-run double to put Boston ahead for good in a three-run seventh inning. Boston has won each of the last seven and nine of the last 10. The Red Sox are fourth and trail first-place Toronto in the AL East by five games. 

Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .268 to lead Boston. Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox in home runs with 18 and on-base percentage at .326. Trevor Story is the leader in RBI with 57, and Jarren Duran leads in hits with 101. Boston is batting .257 with a .436 slugging percentage. On Saturday, Boston will send Garrett Crochet to the mound. The left-hander is 9-4 with a 2.39 ERA, 151 Ks, and 34 BBs.

Boston will win at home on Saturday when hosting Tampa Bay, but the play here is UNDER. The UNDER has cashed in four of Tampa Bay’s last five on the road versus Boston. Tampa Bay starter Shane Baz allowed six runs on 14 hits across 13 innings in his last two outings. Boston starter Garrett Crochet is coming off a strong outing in which the left-hander allowed two runs on nine hits across five innings. Final Score Prediction: Boston Red Sox win but our best play is UNDER 4-2.