Rays vs Red Sox Picks and Prediction – 7/11/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 07/10/2025 at 7:45 PM ET

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox 07/11/25 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 7/11/2025, 11:10 PM UTC
Latest Odds: TAM -115 ; O/U 8.5

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction

The Tampa Bay Rays play the second game of a four-game series on the road Friday versus the Boston Red Sox. Tampa Bay is 50-43 following its 7-3 victory over the Detroit Tigers on Wednesday. Tampa Bay avoided being swept in the series after losing the first two games. The Rays are third in the American League East, four games behind the first-place Toronto Blue Jays. Keep up to date with all the MLB action with our expert MLB picks.

Jonathan Aranda is batting .327 with an on-base percentage of .403 to lead Tampa Bay in both categories. Junior Caminero leads Tampa Bay in home runs with 22 and RBI with 58, while Yandy Diaz leads in hits with 101. On Friday, the Tampa Bay Rays will send Drew Rasmussen to the mound. The right-hander is 7-5 with a 2.82 ERA, 76 Ks, and 21 BBs.

The Boston Red Sox improved to 49-45 following Wednesday’s 10-2 victory over the Colorado Rockies, completing a two-game sweep of the series and outscoring Colorado 20-4 in the two games. Masataka Yosida had a double and an RBI in his season debut for Boston. The Red Sox are fourth and trail first-place Toronto in the AL East by 5 ½ games.

Ceddanne Rafaela is batting .264 to lead Boston. Wilyer Abreu leads the Red Sox in home runs with 18 and on-base percentage at .326. Trevor Story is the leader in RBI with 57, and Jarren Duran leads in hits with 101. Boston is batting .257 with a .436 slugging percentage. Boston has not announced its starting pitcher for the second game of a four-game series at home versus the Tampa Bay Rays. 

Rays vs Red Sox Pick Analysis

The Boston Red Sox have performed well of late, winning each of the last six overall. Boston has won four of the last five overall versus the Rays and 11 of the last 15 at home versus Tampa Bay. The Rays have struggled of late, losing seven of the last 10 overall and five of the last seven played on the road. Tampa Bay starter Drew Rasmussen has had two consecutive poor outings, allowing five runs on eight hits across only five innings. Final Score Prediction: Boston Red Sox win 7-3.

Our Free MLB Pick for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Boston Red Sox -105