Rays vs Red Sox Picks and Prediction – 5/15/2024

By: Jake Allmann |

Last Updated: 05/14/2024 at 9:31 PM ET

Tampa Bay Rays at Boston Red Sox 05/15/24 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/15/2024, 11:10 PM UTC
Latest Odds: BOS -145 ; O/U 8

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction

In Wednesday's MLB showdown at Fenway Park, the Tampa Bay Rays, standing at 21-21, face off against the Boston Red Sox with a nearly identical record of 21-20. The Rays' Taj Bradley (0-1, ERA 1.50) and the Red Sox's Tanner Houck (3-4, ERA 2.24) are tonight's starting pitchers, promising a gripping duel on the mound. Elevate your MLB game with our top-notch MLB picks.

The Tampa Bay Rays arrive in Boston with a 21-21 record and a slightly disappointing 7-9 away game performance. Offensively, they are led by Isaac Paredes, who has hit 8 home runs, driven in 22 runs, and holds a batting average of .300. However, the Rays' overall team batting average sits at .245 with a slugging percentage of .371, which might not intimidate the Red Sox pitchers. On the pitching side, the team's ERA is 4.40. Taj Bradley has shown potential for dominance with his impressive 1.50 ERA over the last few starts.

Defensively, the Rays' WHIP (Walks Plus Hits Per Inning Pitched) stands at 1.29, slightly higher than is desirable, which might give Boston some openings. Key injuries including Pete Fairbanks and Brandon Lowe could impact depth.

The Boston Red Sox, similar to the Rays, sport a 21-20 record but have struggled more at home with a 9-11 record. The top performer, Rafael Devers, boasts a .286 average with a .482 slugging percentage. With 40 team home runs and a higher slugging percentage at .397 compared to the Rays, the Red Sox display potential for power hitting, which could be pivotal in today's game.

Pitching for Boston stands out with a stellar team ERA of 2.80, led by Tanner Houck whose 2.24 ERA and 0.97 WHIP are among the best on the team. The Red Sox's pitchers have maintained a more disciplined approach with fewer walks, totaling 103 against the Rays' 129.

Our Free MLB Pick for Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Rays vs Red Sox Pick

Given the current stats, I'm leaning towards the Boston Red Sox to take the win in this tightly contested matchup. Superior pitching stats, particularly Houck's impressive ERA and WHIP, should give them the upper hand against the Rays' lineup. Moreover, with Boston playing at home and the slight edge in power hitting, they are positioned well to capitalize on any Rays' slip-ups. Final Score Prediction: Boston Red Sox win 4-2.

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