Mariners vs Padres Picks and Prediction – 7/10/2024

By: Jake Allmann |

Last Updated: 07/08/2024 at 10:29 PM ET

Seattle Mariners at San Diego Padres 07/09/24 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 7/10/2024, 1:40 AM UTC
Latest Odds: SEA -150 ; O/U 7.5

Padres vs Mariners Prediction

The Seattle Mariners, sitting at 49-43 and leading the AL West, face the San Diego Padres, who are 49-45 and second in the NL West, on Tuesday, July 9 at 9:40 PM ET at PETCO Park. Seattle's Logan Gilbert (5-5, 2.91 ERA) takes the mound against San Diego's Adam Mazur (1-2, 7.52 ERA), highlighting a pitching matchup that favors Seattle on paper. Elevate your MLB game with our top-notch MLB picks.

The Seattle Mariners are looking to bounce back after consecutive losses to Toronto, despite having one of the best pitching staffs in the league. Logan Gilbert has been a consistent force, posting a 2.91 ERA and a WHIP of 1.18 over 111.1 innings, leading to 111 strikeouts. The Mariners' pitching staff boasts an impressive 3.55 ERA, third in the league, and leads the league with a WHIP of 1.08 and a batting average against of .220. 

Defensively, Julio Rodríguez is the standout with 18 home runs and 30 RBIs, but the team struggles overall with a .217 batting average, ranking last in the league. The on-base percentage (.297) and slugging percentage (.363) also sit near the bottom. Despite these challenges, pitching depth and defensive solidity make them a tough opponent.

San Diego Padres, on the other hand, aim to recover from recent setbacks against Arizona. Despite Adam Mazur's struggles with a 7.52 ERA, the offense has been a strong suit, ranking second in batting average (.263), and top ten in runs (437) and home runs (105). Jurickson Profar leads the team with a .315 batting average, 17 home runs and has driven in 59 runs. 

The Padres' on-base percentage (.324) and slugging percentage (.412) reflect offensive potency. On the mound, they lag behind, with a team ERA of 4.16 and a WHIP of 1.28, ranking them in the bottom half of the league. Pitching needs to improve to complement a strong offense, especially with key players like Joe Musgrove and Fernando Tatis Jr. sidelined.

Our Free MLB Pick for San Diego Padres vs Seattle Mariners

Padres vs Mariners Pick

The Seattle Mariners appear to have the upper hand in this matchup, particularly with Logan Gilbert on the mound against a struggling Adam Mazur. The Mariners' superior pitching stats, coupled with the Padres' recent pitching woes and injuries, tilt the balance in favor of Seattle. Final Score Prediction: Seattle Mariners win 6-4.

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