Padres vs Braves Picks and Prediction – 5/17/2024

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 05/16/2024 at 11:12 PM ET

San Diego Padres at Atlanta Braves 05/17/24 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/17/2024, 11:20 PM UTC
Latest Odds: ATL -210 ; O/U 8.5

The San Diego Padres open a three-game series on the road Friday versus the Atlanta Braves. San Diego dropped to 22-24 following its 8-0 loss to the Colorado Rockies on Wednesday. San Diego was swept at home in its three-game series with Colorado and has lost four of the last five. San Diego is second in the National League West, 7 ½ games behind the first place Los Angeles. Make sure you stay up to date with all the MLB action, with our expert MLB picks.

Jurickson Profar is batting .322 with 29 RBI, 49 hits and an on-base percentage of .412 to lead San Diego in each of the four categories. Fernando Tatis Jr is the leader in home runs with eight. San Diego has a team batting average of .253 and slugging percentage .396. On Friday, San Diego will send Matt Waldron to the mound. The right-hander is 1-5 with a 5.49 ERA, 35 Ks and 15 BBs.

The Atlanta Braves dropped to 26-14 following a 7-1 loss to the Chicago Cubs on Wednesday. Nevertheless, Atlanta has won six of the last eight thanks to strong performances on the mound with an earned run average of 3.36, which is 8th best in baseball. Atlanta is second in the National League East, three games behind the first place Philadelphia Phillies.

Marcell Ozuna is batting .325 with 12 home runs, 41 RBI, 48 hits and an on-base percentage of .405 to lead Atlanta in each of the five categories. Atlanta has a team batting average of .255 and slugging percentage of .413. On Friday, the Atlanta Braves will send Max Fried to the mound. The left-hander is 3-1 with a 3.57 ERA, 37 Ks and 17 BBs.

Padres vs Braves Prediction

Padres vs Braves Pick Analysis

Our Free MLB Pick for Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Under 8.5

Atlanta starter Max Fried has not allowed any earned runs in three of the last four outings and therefore the play here is UNDER. The UNDER has cashed in each of Atlanta's last at nine, in each of Atlanta's last 11 played at home and in four of the last six that Atlanta has played head to head against San Diego. Atlanta has the eight best ERA at 3.36 and Braves’ starter Fried has a 3.57 ERA. Final Score Prediction, Atlanta Braves win but our best play is UNDER 4-2.