Yankees vs Mets Picks and Prediction – 7/4/2025

By: Eddie Kline |

Last Updated: 07/04/2025 at 12:08 AM ET

New York Yankees at New York Mets 07/04/25 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 7/4/2025, 7:10 PM UTC
Latest Odds: NYM -113 ; O/U 9

Yankees vs Mets Prediction

The Subway Series will highlight Friday’s MLB schedule, when the New York Yankees travel to Citi Field to face the New York Mets. Be ready for the baseball season with all of our MLB predictions. The Yankees (48-39) are looking to snap a four-game losing streak and have fallen a game out of first place in the AL East Division. Last night, New York batters went 2-for-14 with runners in scoring position and left 12 men on base during an 8-5 road loss against Toronto. 

Thirty-four year old righty Marcus Stroman (1-1 8.16 ERA) will make his fifth start of the year for the Yankees. In his return from the injured list, Stroman allowed one run and lasted five innings during a 12-5 home victory versus the Athletics. 

The New York Mets have won 31 of their first 44 home games and trail NL East Division leading Philadelphia by 1.5 games. Last night, Juan Soto had an RBI single and Pete Alonso followed with a run-scoring double as New York pulled ahead for a 3-2 home victory versus Milwaukee. Brandon Nimmo got the scoring started for the Mets (50-38) with a second inning solo shot. 

Paul Blackburn (shoulder) was scheduled to start the series opener for the Mets, but landed on the 15-day injured list. The Mets currently rank sixth in the majors with a 3.50 ERA and have logged 25 quality starts. 

Yankees vs Mets Pick Analysis

New York SP Sean Manaea (elbow/oblique) made a rehab start on Wednesday with Double-A Binghamton and is close to making his season debut. Through 88 games, the Yankees rank 2nd in OPS and 4th in runs scored. For the season, the Mets rank 7th in OPS and 14th in runs scored. Take the Mets to win at home. Final Score Prediction, New York Mets win 6-4.

Our Free MLB Pick for New York Mets vs New York Yankees

New York Mets -113