Mets vs Royals Picks and Prediction – 7/12/2025

As the MLB calendar turns toward the All‑Star break, the New York Mets (53–41) continue their tough road stint in Kansas City, facing the Royals (46–48) in the middle game of this three‑game set. The Mets hope to ride momentum from a 4‑game winning streak. Get in on the action with our free MLB picks.

Frankie Montas (1–1, 6.14 ERA) gets the ball for the Mets. Although he’s struggled early in the season, he flashed potential with a 5⅔‑inning, four‑run performance in his latest outing against the Yankees. Offensively, the Mets’ "Fab Four"—Juan Soto, Pete Alonso, Francisco Lindor, and Brandon Nimmo—combined for clutch production last week with an extra innings win over Baltimore. The Mets have some major pop in this lineup, lead by Soto's 21 homers and Alonso's 76 RBI's. They are a major threat to put up a crooked number every inning.

Facing the Mets is veteran righty Michael Lorenzen (5–8, 4.61 ERA), who has quietly performed better at Kauffman Stadium (2–1, 3.26 ERA at home). Kansas City’s offense has stumbled this season (3.3 runs/game), but they've found power of late, with Bobby Witt Jr. and Salvador Perez leading several key homers over their 14 HR stretch in 10 games . The Royals are have been good when favored, but will come in as the underdog, and they’re just 3–7 ATS recently.

Expect a competitive, lively matchup: Frankie Montas battles, but the difference-maker is Lorenzen. With the more steady veteran arm on the mound, we will take the Royals at plus money and play the numbers. We will be backing the Royals to win a close one by a score of 6-5.