Mets vs Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction – 5/6/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 05/04/2025 at 7:05 PM ET

New York Mets at Arizona Diamondbacks 05/05/25 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/6/2025, 1:40 AM UTC
Latest Odds: NYM -177 ; O/U 9.5

Mets vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The New York Mets open a three-game series in the desert southwest on Monday versus the Arizona Diamondbacks. New York is 22-11 following a 9-3 victory over St Louis on Friday. New York's game schedule for Saturday with St Louis was rained out and will be made up as part of a doubleheader on Sunday. New York leads the National League East by three games over the Philadelphia Phillies. Keep up to date with all the MLB action with our expert MLB picks.

Pete Alonso is batting .345 with eight home runs, 30 RBI, 40 hits, and an on-base percentage of .473 to lead New York in the five categories. Brandon Nimmo is second in both home runs with 7 and RBI with 22. New York is batting .250 with a .424 slugging percentage. On Monday, New York will send Griffin Canning to the mound. The right-hander is 4-1 with a 2.61 ERA, 31 Ks, and 14 BBs.

The Arizona Diamondbacks dropped to 17-16 following Saturday’s 7-2 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. Arizona has lost each of the first two games of its three-game series versus Philadelphia, which concludes on Sunday. Arizona is 8th in runs scored but 24th in ERA. The Diamondbacks are fourth in the National League West, six games behind the first-place Los Angeles Dodgers.

Josh Naylor is batting .306 to lead Arizona, while Eugenio Suarez is the leader in home runs with 10. Geraldo Perdomo is the leader in RBI with 26 and an on-base percentage of .382. Corbin Carroll is the leader in hits with 39. Arizona is batting .245 with a .432 slugging percentage. Arizona has not announced its starting pitcher for Monday's opening game of a three-game series at home versus the New York Mets. 

Mets vs Diamondbacks Pick Analysis

The New York Mets will win on Monday when visiting the Arizona Diamondbacks, but the play here is UNDER. The UNDER has cashed in four of Arizona's last five. New York’s starting pitcher has performed well this season and will limit the D-Backs to two or fewer runs. New York’s Griffin Canning has had three consecutive strong outings, allowing two runs on 14 hits across 16 innings, with New York winning each of the three. Final Score Prediction, New York Mets win but our best play is UNDER 4-2.

Our Free MLB Pick for Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Mets

Under 9.5