Brewers vs Marlins Picks and Prediction – 7/4/2025

Milwaukee comes into Miami with a 48-38 record and looks to bounce back after splitting a doubleheader against the Mets. The Brewers dropped the first game 7-3 but responded with a 7-2 win in the second. Quinn Priester (6-2, 3.35 ERA) will take the mound against Sandy Alcantara (4-8, 6.98 ERA), who’s struggled all year. First pitch is set for 5:10 PM EST from loanDepot Park. Elevate your MLB game with our top-notch MLB picks.

Milwaukee has been solid, sitting 10 games over .500 and right in the thick of the NL Central race. The Brewers took two out of three from the Rockies before heading to Queens and grabbing one out of two from the Mets, with that series ending Thursday. Offensively, Christian Yelich has been the engine with 17 homers, 61 RBI, and a .259 average. Sal Frelick leads with a .296 average and .354 OBP.

On the mound, Milwaukee holds the edge with a team ERA of 3.79 and a WHIP of 1.28. Priester has been efficient, posting a 3.35 ERA across 78 innings with only 8 home runs allowed and a respectable 61 strikeouts. The bullpen has had some issues with injuries - Brandon Woodruff, Rob Zastryzny, and Nestor Cortes are all on IL - but the group has kept it together. 

Miami comes in at 38-46 and has dropped two of its last three, including a 2-1 loss to Minnesota in the last outing. Despite a disappointing first half, the Marlins won four of the last five, picking up steam with a sweep in Arizona, before meeting Minnesota to start the week. Kyle Stowers has been the bright spot at the plate, batting .286 with 15 homers and 45 RBI. The Marlins are batting .254 as a team.

Pitching has been a major problem for the Marlins, especially with Alcantara’s 6.98 ERA and 1.48 WHIP. Miami’s team ERA is 4.79, and opposing hitters are batting .256 against them. Injuries haven’t helped either - Max Meyer and Ryan Weathers are still out, thinning the rotation. The bullpen is also shorthanded with Andrew Nardi and Jesus Tinoco both on the IL. 

Milwaukee has the better starter on the mound, a deeper bullpen, and a more consistent offense. Priester’s 3.35 ERA gives the Brewers a huge edge over Alcantara, who’s allowed 84 hits and 11 home runs in 80 innings. Milwaukee also boasts a team ERA a full run lower than Miami’s. With Yelich driving in runs and Frelick getting on base, the Brewers should handle business on the road. Final Score Prediction: Milwaukee Brewers win 6-3.