Marlins vs Phillies Picks and Prediction – 10/5/2023

By: Eddie Kline |

Last Updated: 10/03/2023 at 11:51 PM ET

Miami Marlins at Philadelphia Phillies 10/04/23 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 10/5/2023, 12:00 AM UTC
Latest Odds: PHI -145; O/U undefined

NL East Division foes will clash on Wednesday night, when the Miami Marlins take on the Philadelphia Phillies from Citizens Bank Park. For more MLB news see our MLB Picks. The Marlins finished the regular season five games below .500 on the road and ranked in the middle of the pack in pitching with a 4.22 ERA. Last night, Miami 1B Josh Bell had three hits and scored a run during a 4-1 series opening loss against Philadelphia.

Twenty-six year old southpaw Braxton Garrett (9-7 3.66 ERA) will head to the hill for the Marlins in this contest. Garrett was winless in two starts against the Phillies this season and surrendered six runs in ten innings.

The Philadelphia Phillies won 49 of their 81 home games during the regular season and appear primed to make another deep postseason run. During Tuesday’s home victory, 3B Alec Bohm put Philadelphia on the scoreboard first with an RBI double. SP Zack Wheeler (6.2 IP) allowed one run and struck out eight batters to earn the win for the Phillies. 

The Phillies will counter thirty year old right-hander Aaron Nola (12-9 4.46 ERA) on Wednesday. Philadelphia has won Nola’s previous four starts and he has allowed ten runs (9 ER) across his last 21 plus frames. 

Marlins vs Phillies Prediction

Marlins vs Phillies Pick Analysis

Betting Trends for vs

Marlins

Miami are 5-2 SU in their last 7 games.
Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games against Miami.

Phillies

Philadelphia are 8-3 SU in their last 11 games.
Philadelphia are 1-4 SU in their last 5 games when playing at home against Miami.
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Philadelphia's last 7 games against Miami.

Our Free MLB Pick for vs

OVER 8

Miami SP Sandy Alcantara has been shut down for the postseason with a right UCL sprain and hopes to be ready to start next year. Through 162 games, Miami ranks 19th in OPS and 26th in runs scored. For the season, Philadelphia ranks 6th in OPS and 8th in runs scored. Take the over. Final Score Prediction, Philadelphia Phillies win 6-4.