Royals vs Mariners Picks and Prediction – 7/2/2025

Kansas City (39–45) heads west to face Seattle (43–40) under the stadium lights. Though struggling, the Royals send veteran righty Michael Lorenzen (4–8, 4.91 ERA) to park, hoping he can settle down. Opposing him is top prospect Emerson Hancock (3–4, 5.30 ERA), making his spot start for the Mariners. With both clubs seeking to shift momentum, this mid‑season game carries more weight than a typical road matchup. Get in on all the baseball action with our free MLB picks.

Lorenzen has endured a rough patch, including a 6‑run disaster in late June, but remains valued for his veteran presence and ability to eat innings . His 4.91 ERA masks flashes of deeper control—four walks per nine innings—and he’s maintained a reputation for battling through adversity. OFFENSE‑WISE, Kansas City is 39–45 overall and 19–15 at home—but on the road, run production dips, putting pressure on their pitching .

Hancock is still developing, posting a 5.30 ERA across 71 innings. Still, his improved sinker and new sweeper have generated more weak contact recently . After a shaky June, the Mariners lean on him to stabilize their rotation. Seattle’s offense has surged, averaging over 6 runs per game in their last 10, anchored by Cal Raleigh’s 32 home runs and Jorge Polanco’s breakout power.

Expect an offensive tilt—Seattle's hitting has been strong, and Hancock has shown signs of progress. Despite Lorenzen's veteran grit, we think the edge lies with Seattle. We will be taking a crack on the Mariners to win this one. Prediction: Seattle Mariners win an electric game by a score of 6-3.