Tigers vs Rays Picks and Prediction – 4/24/2024

By: Jake Allmann |

Last Updated: 04/23/2024 at 9:59 PM ET

Detroit Tigers at Tampa Bay Rays 04/24/24 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 4/24/2024, 10:50 PM UTC
Latest Odds: TAM -110 ; O/U 8

In this matchup, the Detroit Tigers (13-10, 2nd in AL Central) face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (12-12, 5th in AL East) at Tropicana Field. Today’s pitching duel features Detroit's Jack Flahtery, who struggles with a 4.44 ERA, against Tampa Bay's Tyler Alexander, who holds a more stable 4.79 ERA. Elevate your MLB game with our top-notch MLB picks.

The Detroit Tigers, currently holding a 13-10 record, have found surprising strength in pitching this season, which compensates for lackluster offensive numbers. The Tigers’ ERA of 2.85 is the second best in the league, primarily due to outstanding performances from pitchers like Tarik Skubal, who boasts a 0.74 WHIP across 29.2 innings. This pitching strength has been crucial in keeping games within reach, despite the team's batting average lingering at .223, ranking 24th in the majors. 

Offensively, the Tigers rely on key players like Kerry Carpenter and Riley Greene, who have provided much-needed power with a combined total of 6 home runs and 21 RBIs. The team ranks 21st in runs scored, indicating that while they are not the most potent offense, they can capitalize on opportunities. The recent losses of Gio Urshela and Andy Ibáñez to injuries pose additional challenges.

The Tampa Bay Rays enter this matchup with a 12-12 record, reflecting an early-season of inconsistencies. They sit in 5th place in the AL East. The team batting average of .242 is better than Detroit’s but still only mid-pack in the league. Key players like José Caballero and Isaac Paredes have been bright spots, with Caballero leading the team with 10 RBIs. Yet, the Rays' offensive output hasn't fully compensated for the pitching struggles, which have seen them post a 4.39 ERA, ranking 24th in the majors.

The Rays' pitching issues are further highlighted by the high number of home runs allowed, with 32 home runs given up so far. On the mound, Tyler Alexander will need to use his 4.79 ERA effectively against Detroit's lineup. His performance, coupled with better support from Tampa Bay’s bullpen, will be crucial to turn the average start around. 

Our Free MLB Pick for Tampa Bay Rays vs Detroit Tigers

The Tigers' superior pitching is likely to be the decisive factor in this contest. Although Flaherty has had a below average start, Detroit’s bullpen and the staff’s league-leading ERA and WHIP suggest they can contain the Rays' inconsistent lineup. Meanwhile, Tampa Bay’s higher ERA and issues with home runs allowed might prove costly against Detroit's hitters, who have shown they can capitalize on mistakes. This is particularly true given the Rays’ recent struggles, losing 7-1 to Detroit just yesterday. Thus, we expect Detroit to use its pitching strength to secure a win. Final Score Prediction: Detroit Tigers win 4-2.

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