Rockies vs Diamondbacks Picks and Prediction – 5/17/2025

By: Jake Allmann |

Last Updated: 05/15/2025 at 11:17 PM ET

Colorado Rockies at Arizona Diamondbacks 05/16/25 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/17/2025, 1:40 AM UTC
Latest Odds: ARI -531 ; O/U 9.5

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Prediction

The Colorado Rockies, sitting at a brutal 7-36 record with a miserable 2-20 road performance, head to Chase Field to face the 23-21 Arizona Diamondbacks. The Rockies just got swept by the Rangers, capped off with an 8-3 loss. Arizona is coming off a tight 8-7 win over the Giants and sends Corbin Burnes (2-1, 2.95 ERA) to the mound. Colorado’s starter remains undecided. Elevate your MLB game with our top-notch MLB picks.

The Rockies continue to free-fall, losing four of the last five and scoring just six total runs in a three-game series against Texas. They’ve managed just two wins in the last 24 night games and are clearly struggling on the road. Ryan McMahon leads with 6 homers, while Hunter Goodman brings a decent bat with a .291 average and 25 RBIs, but offense has been hard to come by for this lineup.

The Colorado pitching staff owns a bloated 5.73 ERA and 1.59 WHIP, with opponents hitting .295 against them. The bullpen has been unreliable, and now they’ll face a hot Arizona lineup without a confirmed starter. Injuries keep piling up. Schunk, Tovar, Freeman, and two others remain sidelined, limiting infield depth and forcing makeshift lineups on a nightly basis.

The Diamondbacks have split the last four but won a tough one over San Francisco in the last outing. Corbin Carroll has been on a tear with 14 homers and 31 RBIs, while Eugenio Suarez has chipped in 31 RBIs of his own. This group can slug, and they’ve posted 222 runs this year, ranking among the better-scoring teams in the NL.

Arizona’s pitching is much steadier. Burnes brings a 2.95 ERA into this one with 33 strikeouts in 39.2 innings. As a staff, Arizona holds a 4.71 ERA, 1.35 WHIP, and .252 OBA. While not the best, they’re well ahead of the Rockies’. The bullpen will be key with several arms on the IL, including Martinez and Puk, but the Diamondbacks should be able to manage against this weak Colorado squad.

Rockies vs Diamondbacks Pick Analysis

Colorado can't hit, can't pitch, and can’t stay healthy. Arizona is the far superior team, especially at home. Burnes gives them a clear edge on the mound, and the lineup is loaded with more consistent bats. This one shouldn't be close, especially with Colorado’s road record and 5.73 ERA dragging them down. Final Score Prediction: Arizona Diamondbacks win on the run line 7-2.

Our Free MLB Pick for Arizona Diamondbacks vs Colorado Rockies

Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5