Reds vs Phillies Picks and Prediction – 7/5/2025

The Cincinnati Reds play the second game of a three-game series on the road Saturday versus the Philadelphia Phillies. Cincinnati improved to 45-42 following Wednesday’s 8-4 win over the Boston Red Sox, avoiding a three-game sweep after losing the first two games of that series. Cincinnati is fourth in the National League Central, seven games behind the first-place Chicago Cubs. Keep up to date with all the MLB action with our expert MLB picks.

TJ Friedl is batting .281 with an on-base percentage of .371 to lead Cincinnati in both categories. Elly De La Cruz leads Cincinnati in home runs with 18, RBI with 58, and hits with 92. Cincinnati is batting .247 with a .400 slugging percentage. On Saturday, Cincinnati will send Nick Lodolo to the mound. The left-hander is 5-5 with a 3.52 ERA, 85 Ks, and 20 BBs.

The Philadelphia Phillies improved to 51-36 following Wednesday’s split of a doubleheader versus the San Diego Padres. Philadelphia lost the opener 6-4 but bounced back to win the second game 5-1. The Phillies have won three of the last four and hold a 1 ½-games lead at the top of the National League East over the second-place New York Mets.

Trea Turner is batting .297 with 104 hits, to lead Philadelphia in each of the two categories. Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies in home runs with 26, RBI with 58, and on-base percentage at .380. Philadelphia is batting .256 with a .404 slugging percentage. On Saturday, Philadelphia will send Ranger Suarez to the mound. The left-hander is 7-2 with a 2.00 ERA, 67 Ks, and 17 BBs.

Philadelphia will beat Cincinnati on Friday, but the play here is UNDER. The UNDER has cashed in four of Cincinnati's last five versus an NL East opponent and in eight of Philadelphia's last 10 overall. Cincinnati starter Nick Lodolo has had three consecutive strong outings, allowing four runs on 16 hits across 15.2 innings. Philadelphia starter Ranger Suarez has had five consecutive strong outings, allowing five runs on 22 hits across 35.2 innings. Final Score Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies win but our best play is UNDER 4-2.