Red Sox vs Nationals Picks and Prediction – 7/4/2025

The July 4th MLB holiday schedule will get underway with a matinee between the Boston Red Sox and the Washington Nationals from the nation’s capital. Be ready for the baseball season with all of our MLB predictions. The Red Sox (43-45) have dropped seven of their previous ten games and are six games off the pace in the AL East Division race. On Wednesday, Boston SS Trevor Story went 3-for-4 and scored a run during an 8-4 home loss versus Cincinnati. 

Thirty year old right-hander Lucas Giolito (4-1 3.99 ERA) will make his 12th start of the year for the Red Sox. Last time out, Giolito (7 IP) allowed six hits and one run during a 15-1 home victory versus Toronto. 

The Washington Nationals are seven games below .500 at home and are trying to climb out of the NL East Division cellar. Last night, emerging star James Wood went 5-for-5 with a home run and scored three times to spark Washington to an 11-7 home victory versus Detroit. DH Paul DeJong contributed a three-run blast in the opening frame for the Nationals, who improved to 37-50 overall. 

The Nationals will counter with twenty-seven year old righty Michael Soroka (3-5 4.70 ERA) on Friday. Washington has dropped Soroka’s previous four starts and he has given up 11 runs across his last 22 plus frames.  

Boston OF Masataka Yoshida (shoulder) is currently on a rehab assignment with Triple-A Worcester. Through 88 games, Boston ranks 6th in OPS and 6th in runs scored. For the season, Washington ranks 20th in OPS and 14th in runs scored. Take the Red Sox to win on the road. Final Score Prediction, Boston Red Sox win 5-3.