Red Sox vs Royals Picks and Prediction – 5/11/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 05/10/2025 at 9:31 PM ET

Boston Red Sox at Kansas City Royals 05/11/25 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/11/2025, 6:10 PM UTC
Latest Odds: KAN -130 ; O/U 8.5

Red Sox vs Royals Prediction

The Boston Red Sox play the final game of a three-game series on the road Sunday versus the Kansas City Royals. Boston dropped to 20-20 following its 2-1 loss to Kansas City in the opening game of the series on Friday. The Red Sox have lost four of the last six. Boston is second in the American League East, three games behind the first-place New York Yankees. Keep up to date with all the MLB action with our MLB predictions.

Alex Bregman is batting .316 with 9 home runs, 30 RBI, 49 hits, and an on-base percentage of .392 to lead Boston in the five categories. Wilyer Abreu is tied for the lead in home runs with 9, and Rafael Devers is second in RBI with 26. Boston is batting .250 with a .412 slugging percentage. On Sunday, Boston will send Lucas Giolito to the mound. The right-hander is 0-1 with an 8.38 ERA, 9 Ks, and 3 BBs.

The Kansas City Royals improved to 24-16 following Friday’s one-run win over the Red Sox. Freddie Fermin hit a walk-off RBI single in the 12th inning to give Kansas City the win Friday night. Kansas City is tied for second in the American League Central with Cleveland, 2 ½ games behind first-place Detroit. 

Bobby Witt Jr batting .318 to lead Kansas City, and is the leader in RBI with 24, hits with 49, and on-base percentage at .392. Vinnie Pasquantino is the leader in home runs with six. Kansas City is batting .244 with a .366 slugging percentage. On Sunday, Kansas City will send Seth Lugo to the mound. The right-hander is 3-3 with a 2.4 ERA, 37 Ks, and 15 BBs.

Red Sox vs Royals Pick Analysis

Kansas City has won seven straight, and the Royals are 5-0 in the last five played at home in Kauffman Stadium. Boston's starter Lucas Giolito has struggled in two outings this season, allowing nine runs on 15 hits across 9.2 innings. Kansas City starter Seth Lugo has had three consecutive solid outings, allowing three runs on 15 hits across 20.2 innings. Final Score Prediction: Kansas City Royals win 6-2.

Our Free MLB Pick for Kansas City Royals vs Boston Red Sox

Kansas City Royals -130