Red Sox vs Braves Picks and Prediction – 5/30/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 05/29/2025 at 8:55 PM ET

Boston Red Sox at Atlanta Braves 05/30/25 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/30/2025, 11:15 PM UTC

Red Sox vs Braves Prediction

The Boston Red Sox open a three-game series on the road Friday versus the Atlanta Braves. Boston dropped to 27-31 following Wednesday’s 6-5 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. Boston was swept in a three-game series by the Brewers, and the Red Sox have lost five straight. Boston trails first-place New York in the American League East High 9 ½ games. Keep up to date with all the MLB action with our MLB previews.

Alex Bregman is batting .299 to lead Boston but is out injured, and Jarren Duran is the leader in hits with 69. Wilyer Flores is the leader in home runs with 13, while Rafael Devers is the leader in RBI with 50 and on-base percentage at .409. Boston is batting .252 with a .419 slugging percentage. On Friday, Boston will send Lucas Giolito to the mound. The right-hander is 1-1 with a 5.27 ERA, 23 Ks, and 8 BBs.

The Atlanta Braves dropped to 25-28 following Tuesday’s 2-1 loss to the Philadelphia Phillies. Atlanta’s game with Philadelphia, scheduled for Wednesday, was rained out and will be made up as part of a doubleheader on Thursday. Atlanta has lost five of the last six and trails first-place Philadelphia in the National League East by 9 ½ games.

Marcell Ozuna is batting .279 with an on-base percentage of .425 to lead Atlanta in both categories. Matt Olson is the leader in home runs with 12, and Michael Harris II has a team-best 31 RBI. Austin Riley is the leader in hits with 59. On Friday, the Atlanta Braves will send Grant Holmes to the mound. The right-hander is 3-3 with a 3.68 ERA, 55 Ks, and 26 BBs.

Red Sox vs Braves Pick Analysis

Boston will win on the road Friday, but the play here is UNDER. The UNDER has cashed in four of Boston's last six and 14 of Atlanta's last 20. Boston starter Lucas Giolito is coming off an excellent start in which the right-hander allowed no runs on six hits across seven innings. Atlanta starter Grant Holmes has allowed just four runs across the last 19.1 innings, including holding Boston to two runs across six innings on May 17. Final Score Prediction: Boston Red Sox win but our best play is UNDER 4-2.

Our Free MLB Pick for Atlanta Braves vs Boston Red Sox

Under