Braves vs Rays Picks and Prediction – 4/11/2025

By: David Anicetti |

Last Updated: 04/10/2025 at 8:52 PM ET

Atlanta Braves at Tampa Bay Rays 04/11/25 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 4/11/2025, 11:05 PM UTC
Latest Odds: TAM -115 ; O/U 8.5

Braves vs Rays Prediction

The Atlanta Braves open a three-game series on the road Friday versus the Tampa Bay Rays. Atlanta is 2-9 and last in the National League East, six games behind the first-place Philadelphia Phillies. Atlanta lost to Philadelphia 4-3 on Wednesday. The Braves won the opening game of the series 7-5 and will complete the series on Thursday before heading to Tampa Bay. Keep up to date with all the MLB action with our MLB predictions.

Marcell Ozuna is batting .273 with five RBI, nine hits, and an on-base percentage of .500 to lead the Braves in each of the four categories. Austin Riley is the leader in home runs with two. Atlanta has a team batting average of .215 and a slugging percentage of .327. On Friday, Atlanta will send AJ Smith-Shawver to the mound. The right-hander is 0-2 with a 5.19 ERA, 10 Ks, and 6 BBs.

The Tampa Bay Rays improved to 5-6 following a 5-4 victory over the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday, snapping a five-game losing streak. Jose Caballero hit a grand slam, the first of his MLB career, to help lead the Rays to the win. Tampa Bay is tied for third with Boston in the American League East, two games behind the first-place Toronto Blue Jays.

Brandon Lowe is batting .293 with three home runs, eight RBI, 12 hits, and an on-base percentage of .326 to lead Tampa Bay in each of the five categories. As a team, Tampa Bay has hit just eight home runs through its first 11 games. On Friday, the Tampa Bay Rays will send Taj Bradley to the mound. The right-hander is 1-0 with a 4.91 ERA, 14 Ks, and 4 BBs.

Braves vs Rays Pick Analysis

Although the UNDER has cashed more often than not for these two, both will have starters on the mound who have struggled. Therefore, the play here is OVER. Atlanta starter AJ Smith-Shawver has been roughed up in each outing, allowing five runs across 8.2 innings. Tampa Bay starter Taj Bradley struggled last time out, allowing four runs on just two hits across five innings. Final Score Prediction, Tampa Bay Rays win but our best play is OVER 6-4.

Our Free MLB Pick for Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves

Over 8.5