Braves vs Pirates Picks and Prediction – 5/11/2025

By: Eddie Kline |

Last Updated: 05/10/2025 at 10:36 PM ET

Atlanta Braves at Pittsburgh Pirates 05/11/25 - MLB Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 5/11/2025, 5:35 PM UTC
Latest Odds: ATL -190 ; O/U 8.5

Braves vs Pirates Prediction

Scenic PNC Park will play host to a Sunday afternoon MLB clash between the Atlanta Braves and the Pittsburgh Pirates. Be ready for the baseball season with all of our MLB predictions. The Braves (19-20) have dropped 14 of their first 21 road games and are six games out of first place in the NL East Division. On Saturday, Atlanta 1B Matt Olson homered and scored the winning run in the 11th inning during a 3-2 road victory against Pittsburgh. 

Reigning NL Cy Young Award winner Chris Sale (1-3 4.07 ERA) will take the mound for the Braves in this matchup. In his last start, Sale fired six plus shutout frames and fanned ten batters during a 2-1 home victory versus Cincinnati.

The Pittsburgh Pirates are five games below .500 at home and are stuck in the NL Central Division basement. During Saturday’s disappointing home loss, Pittsburgh batters went 2-for-18 with runners in scoring position and left 14 men on base. C Joey Bart went 4-for-4 and drove in a run for the Pirates, who fell to 13-27 overall. 

The Pirates will counter with twenty-six year old righty Carmen Mlodzinski (1-3 6.16 ERA) in the series finale. In three home starts, Mlodzinski has been roughed up for 20 hits and eight runs while lasting just 13 innings. 

Braves vs Pirates Pick Analysis

Atlanta OF Ronald Acuna Jr. (knee) is almost ready to begin a rehab assignment and hopes to make his season debut in June. Through 39 games, Atlanta ranks 15th in OPS and 20th in runs scored. For the season, Pittsburgh ranks 29th in OPS and 30th in runs scored. Take the over. Final Score Prediction, Atlanta Braves win 6-4.

Our Free MLB Pick for Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves

OVER 8.5