Mercury vs Valkyries Picks and Prediction – 7/15/2025

The 2nd-seed Phoenix Mercury (14–6) travel to the Bay Area for their first-ever regular-season showdown with the expansion Golden State Valkyries (10–10). It’s a clash of contrasting styles—Phoenix’s elite 3-point spacing and veteran poise versus Golden State’s energetic defense and sharpshooting. With momentum and home-court pride on the line, this one promises fireworks. Get in on all the action with our free WNBA picks.

Phoenix is riding one of its best stretches: a 79–71 win over Minnesota and a 102–72 blowout of Dallas, boosting them to 7–3 on the road. They’re ranked top 5 in both offensive efficiency (107.3 points per 100) and 3-pointers made (10.0 per game). Satou Sabally (19.1 PPG) and Alyssa Thomas (15.3 PPG, 9.5 APG) lead the attack. However, Kahleah Copper is questionable with a hamstring issue, which could impact their spacing. Phoenix has seen a burst of energy over the last several games, and the squad is clicking.

Golden State enters off a thrilling 104–102 loss to Las Vegas and is 5–1 at home, including an 8–2 record ATS at Chase Center . The Valkyries excel from deep (leading the league in 3-point rate at .450), with Kayla Thornton (14.8 PPG) and Tiffany Hayes (13.4 PPG) pacing the offense. With DeWanna Bonner now in the fold, their veteran frontcourt is deeper than expected.

We understand that Golden State has been a wagon ATS at home. However, Phoenix is a far superior squad, and should be a nightmare matchup with their length and physicality inside. There is certainly value one the Mercury as underdogs, and we will back them to win this one outright 85-82.