Mercury vs Wings Picks and Prediction – 7/4/2025

By: Cameron Ross |

Last Updated: 07/02/2025 at 9:00 PM ET

Phoenix Mercury at Dallas Wings 07/03/25 - WNBA Picks & Predictions
Game Start: 7/4/2025, 12:00 AM UTC
Latest Odds: PHX -7.5 ; O/U 168.5

Mercury vs Wings Prediction

The Phoenix Mercury end a two game homestand Thursday night with a game in Dallas against the Dallas Wings. Phoenix has twelve wins and five losses on the year coming into this matchup following a three-point loss to Las Vegas in their last outing to end a lengthy winning streak. Offensively Phoenix is averaging 83.6 points on 43.1% from the floor this season. Defensively Phoenix allows 79 three points per game overall but gave up 84 their last outing. Stay in the action with our WNBA Picks.

Satou Sabally leads the Phoenix offense this season averaging 19.1 points and eight rebounds per game. Alyssa Thomas is second on the roster averaging 14.8 points and leads the team dishing out 9.3 assists per game. Kahleah Copper averages 13.4 points and Sami Whitcomb is 4th on the roster averaging 10.1 points in just over 26 minutes per game.

The Dallas Wings will be back at home Thursday night with five wins and 13 losses on the year having won three of the last five following an 8 point victory against Washington. Offensively Dallas averages 81.5 points on 41.6% shoot from the floor. Defensively Dallas is allowing 84.8 points per game this season but have given up an average of 63 points per game over their last two victories.

Paige Bueckers leads the Dallas offense this season averaging 18.4 points and 5.8 assists per game. Arike Ogunbowale is second on the team averaging 16.8 points and DiJonai Carrington averages a third best 11.8 points per game. Maddy Siegrist is 4th on the team, averaging 9.4 points, and leads the team, pulling in 5.2 rebounds per game. Myisha Hines-Allen averages 6.8 points per game and has started 15 games this season for doubtless.

Mercury vs Wings Pick Analysis

Phoenix is the far better team in this matchup, and it will show from the opening minutes on Thursday. The Mercury are better on both sides of the ball will overwhelm Dallas start to finish. Take the Phoenix to begin a new winning streak Thursday night as they get the winning cover on the road in Dallas. Final Score Prediction, Phoenix Mercury win and cover 86-74.

Our Free WNBA Pick for Dallas Wings vs Phoenix Mercury

Phoenix Mercury -7.5