Mercury vs Sun Picks and Prediction – 6/18/2025

The Phoenix Mercury (8–4) travel east to take on the struggling Connecticut Sun (2–8) in a key midseason showdown. Phoenix is riding high with a healthy roster and a recent hot streak, while the Sun remain mired in a rebuilding project under new head coach Rachid Meziane. With playoff positioning and momentum on the line, this game features clear momentum contrast and strategic playoff implications. Get in on the action with our free WNBA picks.

The Mercury enter off a commanding 76–70 win over Las Vegas on June 15, improving to 8–4 on the season . Phoenix leads the West in offense, averaging 79.9 PPG while allowing 78.3 PPG—solid on defense as well. Key contributors include Satou Sabally (20.6 PPG, 7.9 RPG) and Alyssa Thomas (14 PPG, 13 AST in lastgame) . With no notable injuries listed, Phoenix boasts depth and continuity as they face a Sun team short on both. 

The Sun remain in rebuild mode, now 2–8 under veteran coach Rachid Meziane after losing their entire 2024 starting lineup. Their offense struggles, averaging just 71.3 PPG while allowing 88.2 PPG—the worst defensive mark in the league so far . Despite additions like Marina Mabrey, Tina Charles, and rookie Saniya Rivers, chemistry is lacking . The Sun also remain winless at home (1–4), unable to find their footing in front of a rebuilding fanbase.

This is shaping up to be a blowout in favor of Da Mercury. Phoenix has rounded into a contending team with the return of Kahleah Copper, and the prominence of Thomas and Sabally. There is a clear divide in the ceiling of these two teams and Phoenix should roll. We like the Mercury to win 86-70.