Mercury vs Sky Picks and Prediction – 6/21/2025

Phoenix rolls into Chicago sitting at 10-4 and riding a four-game win streak, most recently beating New York 89-81 on the road. That win followed another strong showing over Connecticut and included a 21-point performance from Akoa Makani. The Mercury have now gone 7-3 in the last 10 games, looking like one of the hottest teams in the Western Conference. Take the WNBA by storm with our WNBA picks.

Phoenix is scoring 80.5 points per game while allowing just 77.6. The team shoots 42.1% from the field and racks up 19.9 assists per contest. Satou Sabally leads the team with 19.6 points per game, though her shooting is a concern at just 38.3%. Defensively, the Mercury force turnovers with 8.9 steals per game and average 4.1 blocks. The injury report lists Kahleah Copper and Megan McConnell as out, but the Mercury have shown they can win even without full strength.

Chicago has lost four of its last five, dropping a home game to Washington 79-72 in the latest outing. The Sky are struggling to find rhythm offensively and have only managed three wins all season. The one bright spot was an upset win over Connecticut, but it hasn’t sparked consistent play. At 3-8, the Sky sit near the bottom of the Eastern Conference.

Defensively, Chicago has had serious issues, giving up 86.3 points per game while scoring only 75.3. They shoot 41.2% from the field and are slightly better on the glass than Phoenix, with 36.3 rebounds per game. Ariel Atkins leads the Sky with 12.6 points per game and a solid 42.6% shooting mark. Courtney Vandersloot is out long-term, and Moriah Jefferson remains sidelined, leaving the backcourt thin and vulnerable against pressure defenses.

Phoenix has won four straight and looks locked in on both ends. The Sky are allowing nearly nine more points per game than they score and haven't been able to defend consistently. The Mercury’s balance on offense, strong recent form, and pressure defense should be enough to overwhelm a short-handed Chicago team. Final Score Prediction: Phoenix Mercury win and cover 85-74.