Liberty vs Valkyries Picks and Prediction – 6/26/2025

The New York Liberty head to San Francisco sitting at 10-3 after dropping two straight, most recently losing 89-79 in Seattle. Meanwhile, the Golden State Valkyries come in at 7-6 and off back-to-back wins, including an impressive 87-63 blowout over the Connecticut Sun. New York’s been one of the top teams in the league, but Golden State is rolling at home with a 5-2 record at Chase Center. Take the WNBA by storm with our WNBA picks.

New York is on a rare two-game skid and hasn't looked sharp defensively, giving up 89+ points in back-to-back losses. Still, this is a team that has handled business most of the year behind MVP candidate Breanna Stewart. The Liberty rank third in the league in scoring at 88.3 points per game and have beaten teams with strong play at both ends, but they’ll likely be missing key pieces again with Jonquel Jones ruled out and Sabrina Ionescu questionable.

Defense has slipped during this losing streak, but New York still allows just 77.2 points per game, second-best in the league. They're shooting 46.4% from the field and grabbing 35.6 rebounds per game. Stewart leads the way with 20.8 points per game on 52.4% shooting, and she’s been carrying the offensive load with Jones sidelined. The Liberty also average 21.8 assists and 9.2 steals per contest, showing how active they are both offensively and defensively despite the recent slide.

Golden State comes in feeling good after two straight wins at home, including that 24-point demolition of Connecticut. The Valkyries have gone 5-2 at home and are building momentum behind a balanced team effort. They’ve won four of the last five and are showing real confidence, especially on the offensive end, where ball movement has improved.

Defensively, Golden State is holding teams to 78.4 points per game while allowing just 39.8% shooting. That defensive edge, combined with 8.6 steals per game, has helped them hang around in games. Offensively, they’re scoring 79.0 points per game with Kahleah Thornton leading the charge at 15.2 points per game. She’s been the go-to weapon, but they’ll need more from the supporting cast to pull off an upset. The Valkyries don’t have any key injuries, which could give them an edge in depth for this one.

Despite the two-game skid, New York still has a top-three offense and the second-best defense in the league. Even with Jones out and Ionescu questionable, Breanna Stewart gives the Liberty the edge. Golden State has looked better, especially at home, but they're not built to keep pace if New York finds rhythm early. Final Score Prediction: New York Liberty win and cover 87-75.